Result
2:1
25/05/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (166/231) | 83% (354/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (166/231) | 83% (354/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 58% (30/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (66/98) | 60% (48/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', La Mantia A. 🟨,
- 31', Mateju A. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Cassandro T. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, Aurelio G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Buso N. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Wisniewski P. ⚽, Esposito F. (A),
- 66', Ilie R. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
- 66', La Mantia A. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 68', Mateju A. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 68', Di Serio G. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
- 80', Petriccione J. ↓, Pontisso S. ↑,
- 83', Cassata F. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
- 83', Kouda R. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
- 86', Biasci T. 🟥,
- 88', Scognamillo S. 🟨,
- 89', Esposito F. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spezia
52% | Draw
26% | Catanzaro
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spezia's form might have worsened.Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Spezia - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.66) |
3.64 ↓
(4) |
4.36 ↓
(4.92) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spezia - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
Spezia will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Spezia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Spezia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Bertola N.
(Muscle Injury)
Degli Innocenti D.
(Injury)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Soleri E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Compagnon M.
(Inactive)
Situm M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Catanzaro: Seck D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Catanzaro?
Spezia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Spezia?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Catanzaro were as follows:
21.05.2025
Catanzaro
-
Spezia
0:2
23.02.2025
Spezia
-
Catanzaro
0:1
21.12.2024
Catanzaro
-
Spezia
0:1
03.02.2024
Spezia
-
Catanzaro
1:1
30.08.2023
Catanzaro
-
Spezia
3:0
Latest results of Catanzaro
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
