Caudal Deportivo vs San Martín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
16/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, (Pen),
  • 14', 1 - 1, ,
  • 14', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 68', 3 - 1, ,
  • 89', 3 - 2, ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Caudal Deportivo
64.6%
Draw
22%
San Martín
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 25.2% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 25.5% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caudal Deportivo's performance.
  • San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caudal Deportivo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Caudal Deportivo - San Martín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.55)
    4.18
    (3.6)
    6.88
    (5.58)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Caudal Deportivo - San Martín?
  • Users Predictions: Caudal Deportivo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Caudal Deportivo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 2.
    • Caudal Deportivo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Martín is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Caudal Deportivo is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caudal Deportivo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caudal Deportivo - San Martín were as follows:
    09.02.2025 San Martín - Caudal Deportivo 0:1
    29.09.2024 Caudal Deportivo - San Martín 0:0
    Latest results of Caudal Deportivo
    Latest results of San Martín
    09.11.2025 San Martín - Club Siero 5:2
    02.11.2025 Navarro - San Martín 0:1
    19.10.2025 Praviano - San Martín 0:0
    12.10.2025 San Martín - Lenense 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Llanera27215156:183868
    2Covadonga27195365:194662
    3Gijon B27159361:204154
    4Caudal Deportivo27156645:331251
    5Mosconia27147642:192349
    6L'Entregu27119733:32142
    7CD Colunga271071031:42-1137
    8Union Club Ceares2799927:25236
    9EI San Martin2799929:31-236
    10Llanes27712837:37033
    11Club Siero27881133:39-632
    12Praviano27881127:34-732
    13Aviles Stadium275121016:30-1427
    14SD Navarro CF274111231:44-1323
    15Lenense274101323:45-2222
    16Gijon Industrial274101323:45-2222
    17Tuilla27451820:49-2917
    18Real Titanico27181816:53-3711

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation