Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cavalier
52.7% | Draw
26.7% | Tivoli Gardens
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalier than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.91) |
3.39 ↓
(3.4) |
4.42 ↑
(3.57) |
10.3%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalier won 1.
- Cavalier is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tivoli Gardens's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cavalier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cavalier could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalier won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalier won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalier won against Tivoli Gardens?
Cavalier has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Cavalier?
Tivoli Gardens has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
05.10.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Cavalier
0:2
03.04.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Cavalier
1:1
30.01.2025
Cavalier
-
Tivoli Gardens
0:0
03.11.2024
Tivoli Gardens
-
Cavalier
1:1
22.01.2024
Tivoli Gardens
-
Cavalier
0:0
Latest results of Cavalier
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 22 | 51 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 37:12 | 25 | 45 |
| 3 | Racing United | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 38:18 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Portmore | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Waterhouse | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24:19 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 34:26 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | Dunbeholden | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 19:26 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 31 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 26 |
| 12 | Molynes | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 33:48 | -15 | 21 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17:63 | -46 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
