Tivoli Gardens vs Cavalier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Jamaica National Premier League Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier
Result
0:2
05/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
25
Red Cards
10
Total shots
108
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
95
Corner Kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 77', 0 - 1, ,
  • 85', 🟥,
  • 90+7', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Tivoli Gardens
28.8%
Draw
29.9%
Cavalier
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 27.8% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 27.4% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Cavalier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalier than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (2.92)
    3.11
    (3.35)
    2.26
    (2.32)
    7.3%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier 1:1
    30.01.2025 Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens 0:0
    03.11.2024 Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier 1:1
    22.01.2024 Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier 0:0
    21.12.2023 Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens 1:1
    Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
    Latest results of Cavalier
    01.10.2025 Weymouth Wales - Cavalier 2:1
    28.09.2025 Dunbeholden - Cavalier Postponed
    21.09.2025 Cavalier - Treasure Beach 2:1
    17.09.2025 Cavalier - Defence Force 2:1
    14.09.2025 Mount Pleasant - Cavalier 2:1
    Jamaica National Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montego Bay751116:8816
    2Racing United633011:4712
    3Portmore73317:3412
    4Waterhouse731310:7310
    5Cavalier63128:6210
    6Chapelton73138:9-110
    7Arnett Gardens630311:12-19
    8Treasure Beach722310:12-28
    9Harbour View62226:9-38
    10Dunbeholden62134:5-17
    11Mount Pleasant41306:516
    12Tivoli71335:9-46
    13Molynes70526:10-45
    14Spanish Town Police70253:12-92

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation