Caxias vs Ferroviário Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza
Result
2:1
10/08/2024 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 17
  • Referee: Machado M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
2010
Shots on Goal
104
Shots off Goal
106
Free Kicks
1811
Corner Kicks
91
Offsides
10
Throw-ins
2831
Goalkeeper Saves
38
Fouls
917
Yellow Cards
25
Attacks
12098
Dangerous Attacks
5740

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Marcelinho ,
  • 41', Leo Gobo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Robinho , Welder ,
  • 46', Elyeser , Felipe Tontini ,
  • 46', Lucas Cunha , Barba ,
  • 49', Israel 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Felipe Tontini ,
  • 62', Vinicius Paulista , Wilker ,
  • 71', Dudu 🟨,
  • 72', Lincoln 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Felipe Tontini ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 83', Israel , Igor Dutra ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caxias
54.4%
Draw
26.9%
Ferroviário Fortaleza
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 27.8% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 27.2% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.78)
    3.38
    (3.3)
    4.88
    (4.45)
    9.9%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • Recent matches Caxias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ferroviário is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ferroviário could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Caxias is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
    10.09.2023 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Caxias 1:0
    07.09.2023 Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza 1:1
    Latest results of Caxias
    07.08.2024 Ypiranga - Caxias 1:0
    04.08.2024 São Bernardo - Caxias 2:0
    31.07.2024 Caxias - Confiança 1:0
    20.07.2024 Londrina - Caxias 2:0
    Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias14100424:17730
    2Ponte Preta1482414:12226
    3Londrina1475224:131126
    4Nautico1465315:6923
    5Sao Bernardo1465315:9623
    6Brusque1463515:13221
    7Ypiranga FC1463512:14-221
    8Floresta EC1455411:12-120
    9CSA1446416:15118
    10Ituano1445513:16-317
    11Botafogo PB1444616:14216
    12Guarani1444610:13-316
    13Maringa FC1437418:20-216
    14Anapolis1437411:14-316
    15ABC14210216:18-216
    16Figueirense1436516:16015
    17Itabaiana1442812:17-514
    18Confianca1435615:20-514
    19Retro143476:15-913
    20Tombense1426612:17-512

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D