Result
2:1
10/08/2024 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 17
- Referee: Machado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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60% | 40% |
Goal Attempts |
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20 | 10 |
Shots on Goal |
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10 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
10 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
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18 | 11 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 1 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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28 | 31 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 8 |
Fouls |
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9 | 17 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 5 |
Attacks |
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120 | 98 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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57 | 40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Marcelinho ⚽,
- 41', Leo Gobo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Robinho ↓, Welder ↑,
- 46', Elyeser ↓, Felipe Tontini ↑,
- 46', Lucas Cunha ↓, Barba ↑,
- 49', Israel 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Felipe Tontini ⚽,
- 62', Vinicius Paulista ↓, Wilker ↑,
- 71', Dudu 🟨,
- 72', Lincoln 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 1, Felipe Tontini ⚽,
- 82', 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 83', Israel ↓, Igor Dutra ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caxias 54.4% | Draw 26.9% | Ferroviário Fortaleza 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.78) |
3.38 ↑ (3.3) |
4.88 ↑ (4.45) |
9.9% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- Recent matches Caxias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ferroviário is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Ferroviário could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Caxias is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Ferroviário Fortaleza?
Caxias has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviário Fortaleza won against Caxias?
Ferroviário Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
10.09.2023
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Caxias
1:0
07.09.2023
Caxias
-
Ferroviário Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SER Caxias | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Ponte Preta | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 26 |
3 | Londrina | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 26 |
4 | Nautico | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 15:6 | 9 | 23 |
5 | Sao Bernardo | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 23 |
6 | Brusque | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Ypiranga FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Floresta EC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 20 |
9 | CSA | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
10 | Ituano | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
11 | Botafogo PB | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Guarani | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Maringa FC | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Anapolis | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
15 | ABC | 14 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
16 | Figueirense | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
17 | Itabaiana | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
18 | Confianca | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
19 | Retro | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 13 |
20 | Tombense | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D