Caxias vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa do Brasil Caxias - Fluminense
Result
1:2
05/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Cano G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Iago , Richard ,
  • 46', Guilherme Mantuan , Gabriel Lima ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Cano G. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Alisson ,
  • 70', Cano G. , Everaldo ,
  • 70', Serna K. , Hercules ,
  • 71', Calyson , Nicholas ,
  • 72', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
  • 82', Martinelli , Nonato ,
  • 83', Guga 🟨,
  • 84', Ronei , Thiago Ennes ,
  • 84', Pedro Cuiaba , Paulinho Souza ,
  • 89', Paulinho Souza 🟨,
  • 89', Guga , Samuel Xavier ,
  • 90', Canobbio A. , Paulo Baya ,

Chances of winning


Caxias
12.1%
Draw
23%
Fluminense
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 21.3% 66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 20.4% 69.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Caxias - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.76
    (7.57)
    4.04
    (4.37)
    1.44
    (1.4)
    7.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Caxias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fluminense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fluminense have a series of home games.
    • In this match Fluminense is indisputable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Caxias
    Latest results of Fluminense
    02.03.2025 Fluminense - Volta Redonda 4:0
    23.02.2025 Fluminense - Bangu 3:2
    16.02.2025 Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu 2:0
    08.02.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 0:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Sao PauloBye
    3MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    4Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    5TremBrusque0 : 2
    6OlariaABC1 : 0
    7Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    8Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    18JequieRetro1 : 2
    20ByeFortaleza
    21Paysandu PABye
    24ByeBahia
    25Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    26DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    27CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    28VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    29InternacionalBye
    31CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    32MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    33SantosBye
    36ByeCRB
    37CruzeiroBye
    39Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    40Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    41Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    42BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    43Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    44BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    45HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    46CSETombense1 : 3
    47Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    48Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    49Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    50Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    52ByeCorinthians
    53SergipeCeara0 : 2
    54ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    56ByePalmeiras
    57Botafogo RJBye
    59Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    60CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    61Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    62GASRemo0 : 4
    63SousaBragantino1 : 2
    64OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sao PauloBye
    2VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    3BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    4Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    10ByeFortaleza
    11Paysandu PABye
    12ByeBahia
    13FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    14CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    15InternacionalBye
    16CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    17SantosBye
    18ByeCRB
    19CruzeiroBye
    20Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    21Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    22GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    23Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    24VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    25Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    26ByeCorinthians
    27CearaConfianca3 : 2
    28ByePalmeiras
    29Botafogo RJBye
    30Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    31CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    32BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    2BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    6Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1
    7FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    8InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    9SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    10CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    11CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    12Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    13NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    15Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    16CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sao PauloAthletico-PR
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ
    3RetroBahia
    4FluminenseInternacional
    5CRBCruzeiro
    6CSAVasco
    7CorinthiansPalmeiras
    8Botafogo RJBragantino