Caxias vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Cano G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Iago , Richard ,
  • 46', Guilherme Mantuan , Gabriel Lima ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Cano G. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Alisson ,
  • 70', Cano G. , Everaldo ,
  • 70', Serna K. , Hercules ,
  • 71', Calyson , Nicholas ,
  • 72', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
  • 82', Martinelli , Nonato ,
  • 83', Guga 🟨,
  • 84', Ronei , Thiago Ennes ,
  • 84', Pedro Cuiaba , Paulinho Souza ,
  • 89', Paulinho Souza 🟨,
  • 89', Guga , Samuel Xavier ,
  • 90', Canobbio A. , Paulo Baya ,

Chances of winning


Caxias
12.1%
Draw
23%
Fluminense
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 21.3% 66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 20.4% 69.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Caxias - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.76
    (7.57)
    4.04
    (4.37)
    1.44
    (1.4)
    7.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Caxias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fluminense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fluminense have a series of home games.
    • In this match Fluminense is indisputable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Caxias
    Latest results of Fluminense
    02.03.2025 Fluminense - Volta Redonda 4:0
    23.02.2025 Fluminense - Bangu 3:2
    16.02.2025 Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu 2:0
    08.02.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 0:0
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1BarraBye
    3America MGBye
    4America SETirol1 : 2
    5IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    6ByeVolta Redonda
    7America RNBye
    8ByeGAS
    9Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    10ByeSport Recife
    11AnapolisBye
    12ByeCianorte
    13Rio Branco ESBye
    14ByeAthletic Club
    15Ypiranga FCBye
    16Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    17ManauaraBye
    18ByeItabaiana
    19FortalezaBye
    20MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    21CastanhalBye
    22ByeGuarani
    23Nova IguacuBye
    24ByeLagarto
    25Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    26ByeCuiaba
    27CeilandiaBye
    28ByeJacuipense
    29MixtoBye
    30ByeBotafogo PB
    31NovorizontinoBye
    32ByeNacional-AM
    33Sao LuizBye
    34ByeMaranhao
    35CearaBye
    36AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    37JoinvilleBye
    38ByeCSA
    39Sao BernardoBye
    40ByeAlagoinhas
    41Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    42ByeVila Nova FC
    43ASABye
    44ByeOperario MS
    45ConfiancaBye
    47TombenseBye
    48ByeOratorio
    49Ponte PretaBye
    51SER CaxiasBye
    52ByeGuarany de Bage
    53Operario VGBye
    54ByePorto Velho
    55Atletico GOBye
    56Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    57BoavistaBye
    58ByeMaringa FC
    59RetroBye
    60ByeUberlandia
    61GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    62ByeGoias
    63TremBye
    64ByeFluminense-PI
    65BareMadureira0 : 3
    66ByeABC
    67Aguia De MarabaBye
    68ByeIndependencia
    69Tuna LusoBye
    70ByeTocantinopolis
    71JuventudeBye
    72GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    73Capital FCBye
    74ByeManaus
    75LondrinaBye
    76ByeSC Penedense
    77BetimPiaui1 : 0
    78ByeOperario-PR
    79JuazeirenseBye
    80ByeCapital
    81ImperatrizBye
    82ByeAmazonas
    83FigueirenseBye
    84ByeAzuriz
    85Santa CruzBye
    86ByeSousa
    87CRBBye
    88Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    89PortuguesaBye
    90ByeAE Altos
    91AvaiBye
    92ByePorto Vitoria
    93Paysandu PABye
    95Portuguesa RJBye
    96ByeMaracana

    1/128-finals
    1BarraBye
    2America MGTirol
    3IvinhemaVolta Redonda
    4America RNGAS3 : 0
    5Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife
    6AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    7Rio Branco ESAthletic Club
    8Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    9ManauaraItabaiana
    10FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    11CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    12Nova IguacuLagarto
    13Santa CatarinaCuiaba
    14CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    15MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    16NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    17Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    18CearaPrimavera
    19JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    20Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    21Velo ClubeVila Nova FC
    22ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    23ConfiancaBye
    24TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    25Ponte PretaBye
    26SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    27Operario VGPorto Velho
    28Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    29BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    30RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    31GamaGoias2 : 3
    32TremFluminense-PI
    33MadureiraABC1 : 0
    34Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0
    35Tuna LusoTocantinopolis
    36JuventudeGuapore
    37Capital FCManaus
    38LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    39BetimOperario-PR
    40JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    41ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    42FigueirenseAzuriz
    43Santa CruzSousa
    44CRBPorto-BA
    45PortuguesaAE Altos
    46AvaiPorto Vitoria
    47Paysandu PABye
    48Portuguesa RJMaracana

    1/64-finals
    1BarraTBD #2
    2TBD #3America RN
    3TBD #5Anapolis
    4TBD #7Ypiranga FC
    5TBD #9Fortaleza
    6CastanhalTBD #12
    7TBD #13Jacuipense
    8MixtoNovorizontino
    9MaranhaoTBD #18
    10JoinvilleSao Bernardo
    11TBD #21Operario MS
    12ConfiancaTombense
    13Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage
    14TBD #27Atletico GO
    15Maringa FCUberlandia
    16GoiasTBD #32
    17MadureiraAguia De Maraba
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37Londrina
    20TBD #39Capital
    21AmazonasTBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24Paysandu PATBD #48