Result
1:0
02/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Fernandez Gomez G. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Guarnizo
36.7% | Draw
31.9% | Cayón
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Guarnizo - Cayón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.76) |
2.85 ↓
(2.87) |
2.89 ↑
(2.54) |
9.9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 1.
- Guarnizo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cayón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guarnizo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarnizo won against Cayón?
Guarnizo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cayón won against Guarnizo?
Cayón has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarnizo - Cayón were as follows:
23.11.2025
Cayón
-
Guarnizo
1:1
09.03.2025
Cayón
-
Guarnizo
1:3
19.08.2023
Guarnizo
-
Cayón
0:0
11.02.2023
Guarnizo
-
Cayón
0:1
08.10.2022
Cayón
-
Guarnizo
4:2
Latest results of Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 70:12 | 58 | 71 |
| 2 | Laredo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 56:24 | 32 | 63 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45:24 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 39:22 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Atletico Albericia | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 54:33 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 53:38 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Vimenor | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 55 |
| 8 | Cayon | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Torina | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 33:36 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Bezana | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Castro | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 41:40 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 24:46 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | CD Colindres | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Revilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 31:59 | -28 | 24 |
| 16 | Selaya | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 17 | Montanas | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29:78 | -49 | 20 |
| 18 | Noja | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 19:55 | -36 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
