Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 90+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟥,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cayón
57% | Draw
25.4% | Guarnizo
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cayón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Cayón - Guarnizo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.56) |
3.6 ↓
(3.75) |
5.2
(5.2) |
9.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 3.
- Cayón has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guarnizo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guarnizo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cayón is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Cayón will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cayón won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cayón won against Guarnizo?
Cayón has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarnizo won against Cayón?
Guarnizo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cayón - Guarnizo were as follows:
09.03.2025
Cayón
-
Guarnizo
1:3
19.08.2023
Guarnizo
-
Cayón
0:0
11.02.2023
Guarnizo
-
Cayón
0:1
08.10.2022
Cayón
-
Guarnizo
4:2
Latest results of Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 61:9 | 52 | 59 |
| 2 | Tropezon | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 37:19 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Laredo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:19 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 | Escobedo | 24 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 46:29 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Vimenor | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Atletico Albericia | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 44 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Cayon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Torina | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Castro | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 32 |
| 11 | Bezana | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 13 | Revilla | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:46 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | UC Cartes | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Noja | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:40 | -24 | 17 |
| 16 | Montanas | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25:64 | -39 | 16 |
| 17 | Selaya | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14:32 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | CD Colindres | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 14:34 | -20 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
