Barakaldo vs CD Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainCMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Huidobro J. ,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Galarza A. ,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Calvo T. ,
  • 56', Arana M. 🟨,
  • 57', Jimenez I. 🟨,
  • 69', Ropero I. , Sabin ,
  • 69', San Bartolome V. , Molina E. ,
  • 70', San Bartolome V. , Dufur U. ,
  • 79', Galarza A. , Valino A. ,
  • 80', Neskes , Alvarez U. ,
  • 80', Calvo T. , Canizo A. ,
  • 84', Mandiang S. , Albizua U. ,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
51.5%
Draw
27.5%
CD Guadalajara
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 25.6% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.71)
    3.32
    (3.56)
    4.29
    (4.72)
    10%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Barakaldo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guadalajara is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barakaldo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barakaldo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
    18.10.2025 CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo 1:1
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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