Barakaldo vs CD Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainCMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Huidobro J. ,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Galarza A. ,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Calvo T. ,
  • 56', Arana M. 🟨,
  • 57', Jimenez I. 🟨,
  • 69', Ropero I. , Sabin ,
  • 69', San Bartolome V. , Molina E. ,
  • 70', San Bartolome V. , Dufur U. ,
  • 79', Galarza A. , Valino A. ,
  • 80', Neskes , Alvarez U. ,
  • 80', Calvo T. , Canizo A. ,
  • 84', Mandiang S. , Albizua U. ,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
51.5%
Draw
27.5%
CD Guadalajara
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 25.6% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.71)
    3.32
    (3.56)
    4.29
    (4.72)
    10%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Barakaldo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guadalajara is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barakaldo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barakaldo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
    18.10.2025 CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo 1:1
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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