Barakaldo vs CD Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainCMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Huidobro J. ,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Galarza A. ,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Calvo T. ,
  • 56', Arana M. 🟨,
  • 57', Jimenez I. 🟨,
  • 69', Ropero I. , Sabin ,
  • 69', San Bartolome V. , Molina E. ,
  • 70', San Bartolome V. , Dufur U. ,
  • 79', Galarza A. , Valino A. ,
  • 80', Neskes , Alvarez U. ,
  • 80', Calvo T. , Canizo A. ,
  • 84', Mandiang S. , Albizua U. ,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
51.5%
Draw
27.5%
CD Guadalajara
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 25.6% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.71)
    3.32
    (3.56)
    4.29
    (4.72)
    10%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Barakaldo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guadalajara is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barakaldo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barakaldo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
    18.10.2025 CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo 1:1
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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