Result
3:1
13/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Neskes 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Caropitche S. M. ⚽,
- 40', Angel M. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Jimenez D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', Calvo T. 🟨,
- 48', 🟨,
- 49', 2 - 1, Mesonero D. ⚽,
- 61', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ⚽,
- 67', Neskes ↓, Samuel ↑,
- 67', Munoz P. ↓, Canizo A. ↑,
- 77', Tavares R. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 77', Caropitche S. M. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
- 83', Diaz B. 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
54.7% | Draw
26.7% | CD Guadalajara
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Real Madrid Castilla - CD Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.73) |
3.45 ↑
(3.35) |
4.87 ↓
(4.95) |
9.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against CD Guadalajara?
Real Madrid Castilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Real Madrid Castilla?
CD Guadalajara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 12 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 18 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
