Result
3:4
05/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 9 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
- 33', Gete A. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, Santamaria A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Samuel ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
- 46', Isi Ros ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
- 53', Fernandez A. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 2, Neskes (Pen),
- 61', Ramirez M. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
- 61', Neskes ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
- 62', Campabadal E. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 2, Munoz P. ⚽,
- 68', Santamaria A. ↓, Granero B. ↑,
- 73', Amigo D. ↓, Canizo A. ↑,
- 76', Granero B. 🟨,
- 80', Calvo T. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
- 81', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
- 81', Gete A. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, Bari Q. ⚽,
- 88', Hernandez R. ↓, Viti ↑,
- 89', Tavares R. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+11', 3 - 3, Diaz B. ⚽,
- 90+16', 🟨,
- 90+17', 3 - 4, Cueto J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
CD Guadalajara
46.7% | Draw
29.1% | Real Avilés
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Guadalajara's performance.Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+5%)
CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.34) |
3.27 ↑
(2.87) |
3.85 ↑
(3.13) |
5.3%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Guadalajara (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 10).
- Guadalajara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Real Avilés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guadalajara is seen as the favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Real Avilés?
CD Guadalajara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against CD Guadalajara?
Real Avilés has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés were as follows:
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Latest results of Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
