Result
3:4
05/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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47% | 53% |
Total shots |
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17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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9 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
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12 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 5 |
Total shots |
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17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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9 | 9 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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12 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
- 33', Gete A. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, Santamaria A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Samuel ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
- 46', Isi Ros ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
- 53', Fernandez A. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 2, Neskes (Pen),
- 61', Ramirez M. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
- 61', Neskes ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
- 62', Campabadal E. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 2, Munoz P. ⚽,
- 68', Santamaria A. ↓, Granero B. ↑,
- 73', Amigo D. ↓, Canizo A. ↑,
- 76', Granero B. 🟨,
- 80', Calvo T. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
- 81', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
- 81', Gete A. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, Bari Q. ⚽,
- 88', Hernandez R. ↓, Viti ↑,
- 89', Tavares R. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+11', 3 - 3, Diaz B. ⚽,
- 90+16', 🟨,
- 90+17', 3 - 4, Cueto J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
CD Guadalajara 46.7% | Draw 29.1% | Real Avilés 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Guadalajara's performance.Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+5%)
CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↓ (2.34) |
3.27 ↑ (2.87) |
3.75 ↑ (3.13) |
4.7% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 10).
- Guadalajara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Real Avilés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guadalajara is seen as the favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Real Avilés?
CD Guadalajara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against CD Guadalajara?
Real Avilés has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés were as follows:
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Latest results of Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Barakaldo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
6 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
8 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Ath Bilbao B | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
12 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation