Result
 
                    3:4
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/10/2025 at  12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 47% | 53% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 9 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 6 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 9 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 6 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7',  🟨, 
- 9', 0 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽, 
- 33', Gete A. 🟨, 
- 43', 0 - 2, Santamaria A. (Pen), 
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Samuel ↓, Calvo T. ↑, 
- 46', Isi Ros ↓, Ortega G. ↑, 
- 53', Fernandez A. 🟨, 
- 54', 1 - 2, Neskes (Pen), 
- 61', Ramirez M. ↓, Munoz P. ↑, 
- 61', Neskes ↓, Alvarez U. ↑, 
- 62', Campabadal E. 🟨, 
- 64', 2 - 2, Munoz P. ⚽, 
- 68', Santamaria A. ↓, Granero B. ↑, 
- 73', Amigo D. ↓, Canizo A. ↑, 
- 76', Granero B. 🟨, 
- 80', Calvo T. ↓, Diaz B. ↑, 
- 81', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑, 
- 81', Gete A. ↓, Bari Q. ↑, 
- 86', 2 - 3, Bari Q. ⚽, 
- 88', Hernandez R. ↓, Viti ↑, 
- 89', Tavares R. 🟨, 
- 90',  🟨, 
- 90+1',  🟨, 
- 90+11', 3 - 3, Diaz B. ⚽, 
- 90+16',  🟨, 
- 90+17', 3 - 4, Cueto J. ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | CD Guadalajara 46.7%
 | Draw 29.1%
 | Real Avilés 24.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.05 ↓ (2.34)
 | 3.27 ↑ (2.87)
 | 3.85 ↑ (3.13)
 | 5.3% (9.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 10).
- Guadalajara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Real Avilés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guadalajara is seen as the favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Real Avilés?
                    
                    
                        
                            CD Guadalajara has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against CD Guadalajara?
                    
                    
                        
                             Real Avilés has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of CD Guadalajara                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Real Avilés                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Tenerife | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 | 
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 | 
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 | 
| 4 | Barakaldo | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 15 | 
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 | 
| 6 | Real Aviles | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 | 
| 7 | Lugo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 | 
| 8 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 | 
| 9 | CF Talavera | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 | 
| 10 | Guadalajara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | 
| 11 | Pontevedra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 | 
| 12 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 | 
| 13 | Cacereno | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 | 
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 | 
| 15 | Arenteiro | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 | 
| 16 | Unionistas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 | 
| 17 | Osasuna B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 | 
| 18 | Merida AD | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 | 
| 19 | Ath Bilbao B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 | 
| 20 | Ourense CF | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 | 
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