Bahia vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Bahia - Ceará
Result
1:0
20/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa do Nordeste - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
53
Total shots
74
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Caio Alexandre , Nicolas Acevedo ,
  • 45', Everton Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
  • 60', Willian Jose , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 60', Kayky , Cauly ,
  • 61', Ramos R. 🟨,
  • 62', Luciano Juba 🟨,
  • 65', Ramos R. , Nicolas ,
  • 71', Lucas Mugni , Lourenco ,
  • 72', Aylon , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 72', Fernando Sobral , Richardson ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 80', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
  • 84', Jean Lucas , Rodrigo ,
  • 84', Ademir , Tiago ,
  • 88', Marllon 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Tiago , Everton Ribeiro (A),
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
51.9%
Draw
27.8%
Ceará
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 27.1% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 26.3% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Bahia - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.69)
    3.29
    (3.38)
    4.53
    (4.88)
    8.5%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Ceará?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4.
    • Bahia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ceará's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bahia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Ceará were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    06.03.2024 Ceará - Bahia 1:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 3:3
    06.08.2025 Retrô Brasil - Bahia 0:0
    02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0
    30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2
    Latest results of Ceará
    10.08.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 2:1
    03.08.2025 Ceará - Flamengo 1:1
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    23.07.2025 Ceará - Mirassol 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca0 : 1
    2BahiaCeara1 : 0

    Final
    1ConfiancaBahia