Result
1:0
21/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (516/572) | 80% (243/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (516/572) | 80% (243/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (16/32) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (150/177) | 68% (46/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.55 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 58 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
- 44', Aylon ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez L. ↓, Erick Pulga ↑,
- 49', Ademir 🟨,
- 59', Rodrigo ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
- 59', Iago Borduchi ↓, Luciano Juba ↑,
- 60', Cauly ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 64', Everton Ribeiro 🟨,
- 74', Galeano A. ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
- 74', Lucas Mugni ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 77', Ramos R. 🟨,
- 82', Ademir ↓, Ruan Pablo ↑,
- 84', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
- 90', Fernando Sobral ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 90', Guilherme Luiz ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 90+14', 1 - 0, Everton Ribeiro (Pen),
- 90+14', Fabiano 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
52.6% | Draw
26.2% | Ceará
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Bahia - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.01) |
3.62 ↑
(3.1) |
4.49 ↑
(4.1) |
5%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bahia - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Ceará will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Ceará (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 4.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Bahia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier
(Calf Injury)
Iago Borduchi
(Injury)
Kanu
(Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Bruno Tubarao
(Thigh Injury)
Fernandinho
(Shoulder Injury)
Nicolas
(Muscle Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Knee Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Ronaldo Strada
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Bruno Ferreira
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bahia won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Ceará?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Bahia?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Ceará were as follows:
26.03.2025
Bahia
-
Ceará
3:2
06.03.2024
Ceará
-
Bahia
1:2
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
