Ceará vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Ceará - Bahia
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.21
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
75% (193/257)86% (475/554)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.281.83
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1327
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
75% (193/257)86% (475/554)
Long passes
48% (19/40)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
77% (55/71)76% (115/152)
Crosses
13% (2/15)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.44
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
1311
Tackles
50% (8/16)50% (4/8)
Duels won
4646
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
122
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.832.28
Goals prevented
0.831.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', Lourenco (Pen),
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Lourenco ,
  • 45+6', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Michel Araujo , Kayky ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Willian Jose ,
  • 59', Aylon 🟨,
  • 63', Lourenco , Vina ,
  • 63', Aylon , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 67', Nicolas Acevedo , Rodrigo ,
  • 67', Everton Ribeiro , Rezende ,
  • 67', Fernando Sobral , Vinicius Zanocelo ,
  • 75', Willian Jose , Tiago ,
  • 78', Tiago 🟨,
  • 84', Paulo Baya , Fernandinho ,
  • 84', Diego , Lucas Lima ,
  • 86', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 90', Sanabria M. , Iago Borduchi ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceará
35.6%
Draw
31.7%
Bahia
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 30.9% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 30.6% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Ceará - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.77)
    2.97
    (3.03)
    2.9
    (2.66)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ceará - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bahia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceará: Fabiano (Yellow Cards) Lucas Mugni (Inactive) Lucca (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury) Matheus Araujo (Inactive) Richardson (Yellow Cards) Rodriguinho (Red Card) Vinicius Zanocelo (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Ademir (Inactive) Caio Alexandre (Hamstring Injury) David Duarte (Yellow Cards) Erick (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ruan Pablo (Inactive) Tiago (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Sanabria M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Bahia were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    06.03.2024 Ceará - Bahia 1:2
    Latest results of Ceará
    14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    23.08.2025 Grêmio - Ceará 0:0
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    15.09.2025 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2
    10.09.2025 Fluminense - Bahia 2:0
    06.09.2025 Bahia - Confiança 5:0
    03.09.2025 Confiança - Bahia 1:4
    31.08.2025 Mirassol - Bahia 5:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Gremio27891028:33-533
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet