Ceará vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Ceará - Bahia
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.21
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
75% (193/257)86% (475/554)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.281.83
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1327
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
75% (193/257)86% (475/554)
Long passes
48% (19/40)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
77% (55/71)76% (115/152)
Crosses
13% (2/15)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.44
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
1311
Tackles
50% (8/16)50% (4/8)
Duels won
4646
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
122
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.832.28
Goals prevented
0.831.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', Lourenco (Pen),
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Lourenco ,
  • 45+6', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Michel Araujo , Kayky ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Willian Jose ,
  • 59', Aylon 🟨,
  • 63', Lourenco , Vina ,
  • 63', Aylon , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 67', Nicolas Acevedo , Rodrigo ,
  • 67', Everton Ribeiro , Rezende ,
  • 67', Fernando Sobral , Vinicius Zanocelo ,
  • 75', Willian Jose , Tiago ,
  • 78', Tiago 🟨,
  • 84', Paulo Baya , Fernandinho ,
  • 84', Diego , Lucas Lima ,
  • 86', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 90', Sanabria M. , Iago Borduchi ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceará
35.6%
Draw
31.7%
Bahia
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 30.9% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 30.6% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Ceará - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.77)
    2.97
    (3.03)
    2.9
    (2.66)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ceará - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bahia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceará: Fabiano (Yellow Cards) Lucas Mugni (Inactive) Lucca (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury) Matheus Araujo (Inactive) Richardson (Yellow Cards) Rodriguinho (Red Card) Vinicius Zanocelo (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Ademir (Inactive) Caio Alexandre (Hamstring Injury) David Duarte (Yellow Cards) Erick (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ruan Pablo (Inactive) Tiago (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Sanabria M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Bahia were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    06.03.2024 Ceará - Bahia 1:2
    Latest results of Ceará
    14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    23.08.2025 Grêmio - Ceará 0:0
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    15.09.2025 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2
    10.09.2025 Fluminense - Bahia 2:0
    06.09.2025 Bahia - Confiança 5:0
    03.09.2025 Confiança - Bahia 1:4
    31.08.2025 Mirassol - Bahia 5:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet