Result
2:2
14/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (458/506) | 79% (233/294) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (458/506) | 79% (233/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (87/110) | 65% (40/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Coutinho ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Galeano A. ⚽,
- 26', Richardson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
- 57', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 64', Lourenco ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 65', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
- 65', Lucas Freitas ↓, Cuesta C. ↑,
- 72', Rodriguinho 🟥,
- 78', Paulo Baya ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 78', Richardson ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 79', Cauan Barros ↓, David ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Cuesta C. ⚽, Gomez C. A. (A),
- 84', Pedro Raul ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 84', Galeano A. ↓, Vina ↑,
- 86', Moreira N. ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 86', Coutinho ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 90+2', Fabiano 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Pedro Henrique ⚽,
- 90+7', Gomez C. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
52.5% | Draw
28.6% | Ceará
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Vasco da Gama - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.86) |
3.52 ↑
(3.38) |
5.42 ↑
(4.25) |
-0.1%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ceará will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Vasco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ceará is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Hugo Moura
(Yellow Cards)
Jair
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Muscle Injury)
Fernando Miguel
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Bahia
(Calf Injury)
Ramos R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Moreira N.
(Injury)
Tche Tche
(Injury)
Thiago Mendes
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Ceará?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Vasco da Gama?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Ceará were as follows:
15.04.2025
Ceará
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:21 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
| 10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Internacional | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
