Vasco da Gama vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Ceará
Result
2:2
14/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.46
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
91% (458/506)79% (233/294)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.981.86
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
91% (458/506)79% (233/294)
Long passes
58% (22/38)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
79% (87/110)65% (40/62)
Crosses
27% (9/33)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.45
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
1910
Tackles
77% (10/13)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4248
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.861.98
Goals prevented
-0.14-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Coutinho ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Galeano A. ,
  • 26', Richardson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mateus Carvalho , Gomez C. A. ,
  • 57', Cauan Barros 🟨,
  • 64', Lourenco , Rodriguinho ,
  • 65', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
  • 65', Lucas Freitas , Cuesta C. ,
  • 72', Rodriguinho 🟥,
  • 78', Paulo Baya , Fernandinho ,
  • 78', Richardson , Fernando Sobral ,
  • 79', Cauan Barros , David ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Cuesta C. , Gomez C. A. (A),
  • 84', Pedro Raul , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 84', Galeano A. , Vina ,
  • 86', Moreira N. , Paulinho Paula ,
  • 86', Coutinho , Lucas Oliveira ,
  • 90+2', Fabiano 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Pedro Henrique ,
  • 90+7', Gomez C. A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
52.5%
Draw
28.6%
Ceará
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.6% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 26.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Vasco da Gama - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.86)
    3.52
    (3.38)
    5.42
    (4.25)
    -0.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Ceará?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ceará will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
    • Vasco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ceará is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) Hugo Moura (Yellow Cards) Jair (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho (Muscle Injury) Fernando Miguel (Knee Injury) Matheus Bahia (Calf Injury) Ramos R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vasco: Moreira N. (Injury) Tche Tche (Injury) Thiago Mendes (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Ceará were as follows:
    15.04.2025 Ceará - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Ceará
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    23.08.2025 Grêmio - Ceará 0:0
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    10.08.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet