Result
2:1
15/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Serafim D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (271/335) | 89% (550/618) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (271/335) | 89% (550/618) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (66/89) | 81% (123/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
- 10', Fabiano 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Pedro Raul ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A),
- 31', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 34', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 38', Galeano A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Paulinho Paula ↓, Jair ↑,
- 46', Garre B. ↓, Adson ↑,
- 46', Moreira N. ↓, Rayan ↑,
- 57', Payet D. ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 62', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
- 62', Vegetti P. 🟨,
- 64', Bruno Ferreira ↓, Fernando Miguel ↑,
- 71', Aylon ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
- 71', Lucas Mugni ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
- 71', Leo Conde 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 0, Pedro Raul ⚽, Guilherme Luiz (A),
- 89', Pedro Raul ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 89', Diego ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Rayan (A),
- 90+4', Lucas Freitas ↓, Jean David ↑,
Chances of winning
Ceará
42.9% | Draw
29.8% | Vasco da Gama
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Ceará - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.39) |
3.19 ↓
(3.22) |
3.47 ↑
(3.01) |
5.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
Ceará will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ceará will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1.
- Recent matches Ceará is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Vasco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Ceará will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Ceará: Bruno Tubarao
(Thigh Injury)
Fernandinho
(Injury)
Lucas Mugni
(Inactive)
Matheus Bahia
(Inactive)
Pedro Henrique
(Knee Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Lemos M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Vasco da Gama?
Ceará has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Ceará?
Vasco da Gama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
