Result
1:0
26/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball, TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/323) | 86% (410/476) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/323) | 86% (410/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 44% (14/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (77/118) | 80% (150/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Diniz F. 🟨,
- 29', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 31', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
- 31', Tche Tche 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Matheus Bidu ⚽, Garro R. (A),
- 41', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 45', Andre 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Thiago Mendes ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 46', Cuiabano ↓, Lucas Piton ↑,
- 63', Vitinho ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
- 63', Tche Tche ↓, Adson ↑,
- 68', David ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 77', Garro R. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 78', Paulo Henrique ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
- 82', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 89', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 89', Breno Bidon ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
44.4% | Draw
28.4% | Vasco da Gama
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Corinthians - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.07) |
3.29 ↑
(3.25) |
3.49 ↓
(3.5) |
5.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Vasco (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Vasco (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Vasco (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.
- Corinthians is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vasco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Corinthians could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon
(Inactive)
Depay M.
(Thigh Injury)
Gui Negao
(Inactive)
Joao Pedro
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vasco: Jair
(Knee Injury)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Kayke
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:16. (average 2.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 1.5:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Vasco da Gama?
Corinthians has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Corinthians?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
21.12.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Corinthians
1:2
17.12.2025
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
0:0
24.08.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Corinthians
2:3
05.04.2025
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
24.11.2024
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
