Fiorentina vs Celje – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Celje
Result
2:2
17/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaServus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
belgiumBelgiumRTBF Tipik
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyServus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Sports 1
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalySky Sport 253, Sky Sport 4K
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 4
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.14
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
83% (243/294)89% (463/522)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.161.75
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2411
Through passes
100% (3/3)50% (1/2)
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
83% (243/294)89% (463/522)
Long passes
53% (21/40)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
68% (55/81)78% (108/139)
Crosses
31% (5/16)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.58
Fouls
1710
Tackles
60% (9/15)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4139
Clearances Total
2715
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.752.16
Goals prevented
-0.250.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. , Pongracic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Matko A. , Zabukovnik M. (A),
  • 55', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
  • 61', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Nemanic K. , Seslar S. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 2, Kean M. , Mandragora R. (A),
  • 80', Fagioli N. , Richardson A. ,
  • 80', Parisi F. , Gosens R. ,
  • 90', Matko A. , Edmilson Santos ,
  • 90', Gudmundsson A. , Beltran L. ,
  • 90', Mandragora R. , Adli Y. ,
  • 90+5', Vuklisevic D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
69.2%
Draw
18.8%
Celje
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.9% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2% 17.4% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Fiorentina - Celje Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.32)
    5.05
    (5.31)
    7.94
    (9.55)
    5.3%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Celje?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 27 - 93.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 83.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • In this match Fiorentina is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Dodo (Yellow Cards) Gosens R. (Knee Injury) Mari P. (Inactive) Moreno M. (Yellow Cards) Ndour C. (Inactive) Zaniolo N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Celje: Ajhmajer N. (Knee Injury) Kucys A. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.38.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Celje were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2
    30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    13.03.2025 Fiorentina - Panathinaikos 3:1
    Latest results of Celje
    13.04.2025 Celje - Mura 2:1
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2
    06.04.2025 NK Bravo - Celje 1:2
    02.04.2025 Maribor - Celje 0:1
    29.03.2025 Domžale - Celje 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1BuducnostBye
    2ByeMilsami
    4ByeVirtus
    5VikingurBye
    7ZalgirisBye
    8ByeLinfield
    9TNSBye
    10ByeDifferdange
    11LevadiaBye
    12ByeIberia 1999
    13O. LjubljanaBye
    14ByeInter Escaldes
    15Din. MinskBye
    16ByeEgnatia
    17DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    18ByeSK Rapid
    19Dundee UtdBye
    20ByeUNA Strassen
    21AktobeBye
    22ByeSparta Prague
    23Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    24ByeU. Cluj
    25IlvesBye
    26ByeAZ Alkmaar
    27VaduzBye
    28ByeDungannon
    33Radnicki 1923Bye
    34SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    35KosiceBye
    36UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    37Riga FCBye
    38Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    39SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    40ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    41VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    42MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    43HB TorshavnBye
    44ByeBrondby
    45ZiraBye
    46ByeHajduk Split
    47Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeDinamo Tirana
    53La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    54ByeLausanne
    55Zimbru ChisinauBye
    56ByeFC Astana
    57LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    58ByePrishtina
    59VarazdinBye
    60ByeSanta Clara
    61ArisBye
    62ByePuskas Academy
    63AEK Athens FCBye
    64ByeH. Beer Sheva
    65VikingBye
    66ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    67Cherno MoreBye
    68ByeBasaksehir
    69ArazBye
    70ByeAris
    71OmoniaBye
    72Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3
    73FC BallkaniBye
    74FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    75St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    76ByeShamrock Rovers
    77RakowBye
    78ByeZilina
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81AIKBye
    82MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    83Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    84ByeGyor
    85FK SarajevoBye
    86ByeUniv. Craiova
    87HiberniansBye
    88ByeTrnava
    89Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    90Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    91PaksBye
    92ByeMaribor
    95BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    96ByeSabah Baku
    97SilkeborgBye
    98ByeKA Akureyri
    99Novi PazarBye
    100ByeJagiellonia
    101OleksandriyaBye
    102ByePartizan
    107Austria ViennaBye
    108ByeSpaeri
    109RosenborgBye
    110ByeBanga
    111HammarbyBye
    112ByeCharleroi
    113St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    114KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    117Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    118ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    119ArdaBye
    120NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1BuducnostMilsami0 : 0
    2ByeVirtus
    3VikingurBye
    4ZalgirisLinfield0 : 0
    5TNSDifferdange0 : 1
    6LevadiaIberia 19991 : 0
    7O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes4 : 2
    8Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 2
    9DecicSK Rapid0 : 2
    10Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0
    11AktobeSparta Prague2 : 1
    12Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj0 : 0
    13IlvesAZ Alkmaar4 : 3
    14VaduzDungannon0 : 1
    17Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 0
    18KosiceNeman2 : 3
    19Riga FCDila Gori2 : 1
    20SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem1 : 2
    21VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 1
    22HB TorshavnBrondby1 : 1
    23ZiraHajduk Split1 : 1
    24Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 2
    27VardarLausanne2 : 1
    28Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana1 : 1
    29LarnePrishtina0 : 0
    30VarazdinSanta Clara2 : 1
    31ArisPuskas Academy3 : 2
    32AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva1 : 0
    33VikingKoper7 : 0
    34Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 1
    35ArazAris2 : 1
    36OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi1 : 0
    37FC BallkaniFloriana4 : 2
    38St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 4
    39RakowZilina3 : 0
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa1 : 1
    41AIKPaide2 : 0
    42Pyunik YerevanGyor2 : 1
    43FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova2 : 1
    44HiberniansTrnava1 : 2
    45Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma1 : 2
    46PaksMaribor1 : 0
    48PetrocubSabah Baku0 : 2
    49SilkeborgKA Akureyri1 : 1
    50Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 2
    51OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 2
    54Austria ViennaSpaeri2 : 0
    55RosenborgBanga5 : 0
    56HammarbyCharleroi0 : 0
    57St. PatricksKalju1 : 0
    59Kauno ZalgirisValur1 : 1
    60ArdaHJK0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Virtus
    2VikingurTBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24ByeTBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51Bye
    27ByeTBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57Bye
    30TBD #59TBD #60