Celje vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
3:3
28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.442.99
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
1916
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
56
Blocked Shots
84
Free Kicks
812
Corner Kicks
93
Offsides
01
Throw-ins
1610
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
128
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
494364
Completed Passes
415308
Crosses Completed
92
Interceptions
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Zec D. , Seslar S. (A),
  • 33', Nemanic K. 🟨,
  • 33', Juanjo Nieto 🟨,
  • 34', Pululu A. (Pen),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Pululu A. ,
  • 39', Churlinov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Juanjo Nieto ,
  • 57', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Hansen K. ,
  • 68', Kubicki J. , Nene ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Imaz J. , Hansen K. (A),
  • 78', 2 - 3, Hansen K. , Imaz J. (A),
  • 78', Kvesic M. , Edmilson ,
  • 80', 3 - 3, Dieguez A. (Own goal),
  • 86', Churlinov D. , Villar Miki ,
  • 86', Costa Silva T. , Skrzypczak M. ,
  • 86', Pululu A. , Listkowski M. ,
  • 86', Nguiamba A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Celje
45.6%
Draw
25.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 29.2% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.7% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje's performance.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.6)
    3.75
    (3.15)
    3.19
    (2.6)
    6.2%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 47.9%78.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Celje is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Jagiellonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Celje: Kucys A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T. (Injury) Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Celje
    23.11.2024 Celje - Koper 1:0
    10.11.2024 Primorje - Celje 1:3
    07.11.2024 Betis - Celje 2:1
    03.11.2024 Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0:1
    27.10.2024 Radomlje - Celje 4:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    8ByeRFS
    9ShelbourneBye
    13VikingurBye
    15ZalgirisBye
    16ByeLinfield
    17BreidablikBye
    21BuducnostBye
    22ByeMilsami
    24ByeVirtus
    25DritaBye
    29TNSBye
    30ByeDifferdange
    31LevadiaBye
    32ByeIberia 1999
    33O. LjubljanaBye
    34ByeInter Escaldes
    35Din. MinskBye
    36ByeEgnatia
    40ByeNoah
    41StrasbourgBye
    45VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    46MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    47HB TorshavnBye
    48ByeBrondby
    49SilkeborgBye
    50ByeKA Akureyri
    51Novi PazarBye
    52ByeJagiellonia
    53ZiraBye
    54ByeHajduk Split
    55Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    56ByeDinamo Tirana
    57Shakhtar DonetskBye
    64ByeServette
    65AnderlechtBye
    68ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    69ArisBye
    70ByePuskas Academy
    71AEK Athens FCBye
    72ByeH. Beer Sheva
    73VikingBye
    74ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    75Cherno MoreBye
    76ByeBasaksehir
    77FK SarajevoBye
    78ByeUniv. Craiova
    79HiberniansBye
    80ByeTrnava
    81Crystal PalaceBye
    88ByeFredrikstad
    89LuganoBye
    92ByeCelje
    93OstravaBye
    95Austria ViennaBye
    96ByeSpaeri
    97RakowBye
    98ByeZilina
    99ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    100ByeMaccabi Haifa
    101Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    102ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    103ArdaBye
    104NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0
    105OleksandriyaBye
    106ByePartizan
    108ByeHibernian
    112ByeLegia
    113Levski SofiaBye
    115BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    116ByeSabah Baku
    117IlvesBye
    118ByeAZ Alkmaar
    119VaduzBye
    120ByeDungannon
    121Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    122Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    123PaksBye
    124ByeMaribor
    128ByeFiorentina
    129AIKBye
    130MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    131Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    132ByeGyor
    133DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    134ByeSK Rapid
    135Dundee UtdBye
    136ByeUNA Strassen
    137Radnicki 1923Bye
    138SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    139KosiceBye
    140UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    144ByeRayo Vallecano
    145La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    146ByeLausanne
    147Zimbru ChisinauBye
    148ByeFC Astana
    149St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    150KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    152ByeBesiktas
    153LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    154ByePrishtina
    155VarazdinBye
    156ByeSanta Clara
    157FC BallkaniBye
    158FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    159St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    160ByeShamrock Rovers
    161RosenborgBye
    162ByeBanga
    163HammarbyBye
    164ByeCharleroi
    168ByeMainz
    169AktobeBye
    170ByeSparta Prague
    171Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    172ByeU. Cluj
    173Riga FCBye
    174Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    175SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    176ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    177HackenBye
    184ByeCFR Cluj
    185Wolfsberger ACBye
    189ArazBye
    190ByeAris
    191OmoniaBye
    192Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeRFS
    5ShelbourneBye
    7VikingurBye
    8ZalgirisLinfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    9BreidablikBye
    11BuducnostMilsami1 : 2, 0 : 0
    12ByeVirtus
    13DritaBye
    15TNSDifferdange0 : 1, 0 : 1
    16LevadiaIberia 19992 : 2, 1 : 0
    17O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes1 : 1, 4 : 2
    18Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 1, 0 : 2
    20ByeNoah
    21StrasbourgBye
    23VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 4, 2 : 1
    24HB TorshavnBrondby0 : 1, 1 : 1
    25SilkeborgKA Akureyri3 : 2, 1 : 1
    26Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 3, 1 : 2
    27ZiraHajduk Split1 : 2, 1 : 1
    28Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 1, 1 : 2
    29Shakhtar DonetskBye
    32ByeServette
    33AnderlechtBye
    34ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    35ArisPuskas Academy2 : 0, 3 : 2
    36AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva0 : 0, 1 : 0
    37VikingKoper5 : 3, 7 : 0
    38Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 4, 0 : 1
    39FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova0 : 4, 2 : 1
    40HiberniansTrnava1 : 5, 1 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    44ByeFredrikstad
    45LuganoBye
    46ByeCelje
    47OstravaBye
    48Austria ViennaSpaeri5 : 0, 2 : 0
    49RakowZilina3 : 1, 3 : 0
    50ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa0 : 3, 1 : 1
    51Kauno ZalgirisValur2 : 1, 1 : 1
    52ArdaHJK3 : 2, 0 : 0
    53OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 4, 0 : 2
    54ByeHibernian
    56ByeLegia
    57Levski SofiaBye
    58PetrocubSabah Baku1 : 4, 0 : 2
    59IlvesAZ Alkmaar0 : 5, 4 : 3
    60VaduzDungannon3 : 0, 0 : 1
    61Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma4 : 1, 1 : 2
    62PaksMaribor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    64ByeFiorentina
    65AIKPaide6 : 0, 2 : 0
    66Pyunik YerevanGyor1 : 3, 2 : 1
    67DecicSK Rapid2 : 4, 0 : 2
    68Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0, 1 : 0
    69Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 1, 0 : 0
    70KosiceNeman1 : 1, 2 : 3
    72ByeRayo Vallecano
    73VardarLausanne0 : 5, 2 : 1
    74Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana0 : 2, 1 : 1
    75St. PatricksKalju2 : 2, 1 : 0
    76ByeBesiktas
    77LarnePrishtina2 : 1, 0 : 0
    78VarazdinSanta Clara0 : 2, 2 : 1
    79FC BallkaniFloriana1 : 1, 4 : 2
    80St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 0, 0 : 4
    81RosenborgBanga2 : 0, 5 : 0
    82HammarbyCharleroi2 : 1, 0 : 0
    84ByeMainz
    85AktobeSparta Prague0 : 4, 2 : 1
    86Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj2 : 1, 0 : 0
    87Riga FCDila Gori3 : 3, 2 : 1
    88SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem2 : 5, 1 : 2
    89HackenBye
    92ByeCFR Cluj
    93Wolfsberger ACBye
    95ArazAris2 : 2, 2 : 1
    96OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi4 : 0, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeRFS
    3ShelbourneBye
    4VikingurLinfield0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5BreidablikBye
    6MilsamiVirtus0 : 3, 3 : 2
    7DritaBye
    8DifferdangeLevadia3 : 1, 2 : 3
    9O. LjubljanaEgnatia4 : 2, 0 : 0
    10ByeNoah
    11StrasbourgBye
    12Vikingur ReykjavikBrondby0 : 4, 3 : 0
    13SilkeborgJagiellonia2 : 2, 0 : 1
    14Hajduk SplitDinamo Tirana1 : 3, 2 : 1
    15Shakhtar DonetskBye
    16ByeServette
    17AnderlechtSheriff Tiraspol1 : 1, 3 : 0
    18ArisAEK Athens FC1 : 3, 2 : 2
    19VikingBasaksehir1 : 1, 1 : 3
    20Univ. CraiovaTrnava3 : 4, 3 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22ByeFredrikstad
    23LuganoCelje4 : 2, 0 : 5
    24OstravaAustria Vienna1 : 1, 4 : 3
    25RakowMaccabi Haifa2 : 0, 0 : 1
    26Kauno ZalgirisArda0 : 2, 0 : 1
    27PartizanHibernian3 : 2, 0 : 2
    28ByeLegia
    29Levski SofiaSabah Baku2 : 0, 1 : 0
    30AZ AlkmaarVaduz1 : 0, 3 : 0
    31Polissya ZhytomyrPaks1 : 2, 3 : 0
    32ByeFiorentina
    33AIKGyor0 : 2, 2 : 1
    34SK RapidDundee Utd3 : 2, 2 : 2
    35KlaksvikNeman0 : 3, 2 : 0
    36ByeRayo Vallecano
    37LausanneFC Astana2 : 0, 3 : 1
    38St. PatricksBesiktas2 : 3, 1 : 4
    39LarneSanta Clara0 : 0, 0 : 3
    40FC BallkaniShamrock Rovers0 : 4, 1 : 0
    41RosenborgHammarby1 : 0, 0 : 0
    42ByeMainz
    43Sparta PragueArarat-Armenia2 : 1, 4 : 1
    44Riga FCBeitar Jerusalem1 : 3, 3 : 0
    45HackenBye
    46ByeCFR Cluj
    47Wolfsberger ACBye
    48ArazOmonia0 : 5, 0 : 4

    Final
    1HamrunRFS1 : 0
    2ShelbourneLinfield3 : 1
    3BreidablikVirtus2 : 1
    4DritaDifferdange2 : 1
    5O. LjubljanaNoah1 : 4
    6StrasbourgBrondby0 : 0
    7JagielloniaDinamo Tirana3 : 0
    8Shakhtar DonetskServette1 : 1
    9AnderlechtAEK Athens FC1 : 1
    10BasaksehirUniv. Craiova1 : 2
    11Crystal PalaceFredrikstad1 : 0
    12CeljeOstrava1 : 0
    13RakowArda1 : 0
    14HibernianLegia1 : 2
    15Levski SofiaAZ Alkmaar0 : 2
    16Polissya ZhytomyrFiorentina0 : 3
    17GyorSK Rapid2 : 1
    18NemanRayo Vallecano0 : 1
    19LausanneBesiktas1 : 1
    20Santa ClaraShamrock Rovers1 : 2
    21RosenborgMainz2 : 1
    22Sparta PragueRiga FC2 : 0
    23HackenCFR Cluj7 : 2
    24Wolfsberger ACOmonia2 : 1