Celje vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
3:3
28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.442.99
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
1916
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
56
Blocked Shots
84
Free Kicks
812
Corner Kicks
93
Offsides
01
Throw-ins
1610
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
128
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
494364
Completed Passes
415308
Crosses Completed
92
Interceptions
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Zec D. , Seslar S. (A),
  • 33', Nemanic K. 🟨,
  • 33', Juanjo Nieto 🟨,
  • 34', Pululu A. (Pen),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Pululu A. ,
  • 39', Churlinov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Juanjo Nieto ,
  • 57', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Hansen K. ,
  • 68', Kubicki J. , Nene ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Imaz J. , Hansen K. (A),
  • 78', 2 - 3, Hansen K. , Imaz J. (A),
  • 78', Kvesic M. , Edmilson ,
  • 80', 3 - 3, Dieguez A. (Own goal),
  • 86', Churlinov D. , Villar Miki ,
  • 86', Costa Silva T. , Skrzypczak M. ,
  • 86', Pululu A. , Listkowski M. ,
  • 86', Nguiamba A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Celje
45.6%
Draw
25.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 29.2% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.7% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje's performance.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.6)
    3.75
    (3.15)
    3.19
    (2.6)
    6.2%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 47.9%78.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Celje is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Jagiellonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Celje: Kucys A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T. (Injury) Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Celje
    23.11.2024 Celje - Koper 1:0
    10.11.2024 Primorje - Celje 1:3
    07.11.2024 Betis - Celje 2:1
    03.11.2024 Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0:1
    27.10.2024 Radomlje - Celje 4:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

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