Result
3:3
28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5, Moja TV |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 17 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 2.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 494 | 364 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 415 | 308 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Zec D. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
- 33', Nemanic K. 🟨,
- 33', Juanjo Nieto 🟨,
- 34', Pululu A. (Pen),
- 34', 1 - 1, Pululu A. ⚽,
- 39', Churlinov D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 54', 2 - 1, Juanjo Nieto ⚽,
- 57', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 68', Kubicki J. ↓, Nene ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Hansen K. (A),
- 78', 2 - 3, Hansen K. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
- 78', Kvesic M. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
- 80', 3 - 3, Dieguez A. (Own goal),
- 86', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 86', Costa Silva T. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
- 86', Pululu A. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
- 86', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Celje
45.6% | Draw
25.1% | Jagiellonia Białystok
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje's performance.Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.6) |
3.75 ↑
(3.15) |
3.19 ↑
(2.6) |
6.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 47.9% – 78.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Celje is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Jagiellonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Celje: Kucys A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T.
(Injury)
Wojdakowski D.
(Knee Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Celje has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Celje?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
