Result
3:3
28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Australia | Stan Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5, Moja TV |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 17 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Norway | Viaplay |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.44 | 2.99 |
Ball Possession |
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58% | 42% |
Goal Attempts |
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19 | 16 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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8 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 12 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 10 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 3 |
Fouls |
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12 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Total Passes |
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494 | 364 |
Completed Passes |
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415 | 308 |
Crosses Completed |
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9 | 2 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Zec D. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
- 33', Nemanic K. 🟨,
- 33', Juanjo Nieto 🟨,
- 34', Pululu A. (Pen),
- 34', 1 - 1, Pululu A. ⚽,
- 39', Churlinov D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 54', 2 - 1, Juanjo Nieto ⚽,
- 57', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 68', Kubicki J. ↓, Nene ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Hansen K. (A),
- 78', 2 - 3, Hansen K. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
- 78', Kvesic M. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
- 80', 3 - 3, Dieguez A. (Own goal),
- 86', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 86', Costa Silva T. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
- 86', Pululu A. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
- 86', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Celje 45.6% | Draw 25.1% | Jagiellonia Białystok 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje's performance.Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↓ (2.6) |
3.75 ↑ (3.15) |
3.19 ↑ (2.6) |
6.2% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 47.9% – 78.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Celje is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Jagiellonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Celje: Kucys A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T.
(Injury)
Wojdakowski D.
(Knee Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Celje has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Celje?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)