Result
1:2
24/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 30
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Strike, Strike |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/510) | 78% (254/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/510) | 78% (254/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 31% (16/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (117/161) | 60% (52/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Ikia Dimi Y. 🟨,
- 33', Mazurek B. 🟨,
- 40', Pululu A. 🟨,
- 44', Sadilek L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
- 57', Szmyt K. 🟨,
- 62', Nahuel M. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Mazurek B. (Own goal),
- 76', Sadilek L. ↓, Bochniewicz P. ↑,
- 77', Mazurek B. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
- 80', Montoia G. ↓, Wdowik B. ↑,
- 80', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
- 84', Massimo R. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
- 84', Khlan M. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
- 86', Josema 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Pululu A. ⚽,
- 90+6', Wdowik B. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Janicki R. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
42.3% | Draw
28.2% | Górnik Zabrze
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.07) |
3.28 ↑
(3.09) |
3.16 ↑
(3.09) |
7.4%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2.
- In recent matches, Jagiellonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Flach L.
(Knee Injury)
Jozwiak K.
(Groin Injury)
Pozo A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Janza E.
(Injury)
Liseth S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Górnik Zabrze?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Górnik Zabrze has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
26.10.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
04.05.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:1
03.11.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:2
02.03.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
27.08.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Górnik Zabrze
4:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
