Lugano vs Celje: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/03/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stockhorn Arena (Thun).

EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.84	2.43
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Goal Attempts
16	16
Shots on Goal
8	7
Shots off Goal
5	6
Blocked Shots
3	3
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
5	2
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
Free Kicks
20	19
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
19	20
Yellow Cards
5	3
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
16	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
26	29
Passes
84% (392/465)	88% (566/642)
Passes in the final third
71% (105/148)	82% (163/200)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	23% (5/22)
Tackles
50% (6/12)	41% (7/17)
Clearances Total
24	38
Interceptions
6	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Belhadj M. ⚽, Koutsias G. (A),
24', Delaurier-Chaubet L. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Seslar S. ⚽, Kucys A. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Koutsias G. ⚽, Steffen R. (A),
44', 3 - 1, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Bislimi U. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Dulca M. ↓, Kvesic M. ↑,
46', Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↓, Matko A. ↑,
51', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
61', Koutsias G. 🟨,
63', Dos Santos D. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
68', 3 - 2, Svetlin T. ⚽, Karnicnik Z. (A),
80', 4 - 2, Koutsias G. ⚽, Steffen R. (A),
88', Koutsias G. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
90+4', Hajdari A. 🟥,
90+5', 4 - 3, Kucys A. (Pen),
90+6', Belhadj M. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
97', 4 - 4, Juanjo Nieto ⚽,
102', Grgic A. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
102', Valenzuela M. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
105+3', Osigwe S. 🟨,
106', Svetlin T. 🟨,
114', Cimignani Y. 🟨,
114', Steffen R. 🟨,
114', Silva R. 🟨,
116', Kucys A. ↓, Edmilson Santos ↑,
118', 5 - 4, Doumbia O. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Przybylko K. (Pen),
1, Edmilson Santos (Pen),
2, Steffen R. (Pen),
2, Seslar S. (Pen),
3, Mai L. (Pen),
3, Karnicnik Z. (Pen),
4, Cimignani Y. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Lugano
55.7%

Draw
23.6%

Celje
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

29.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-3%)

Lugano - Celje Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.8)	4.01 ↑ (3.6)	4.58 ↓ (4.91)	5.6% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Lugano - Celje?

Users Predictions: Lugano will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stockhorn Arena.
Lugano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Celje is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Lugano have a series of guest games.
Recently Celje have a series of home games.
In this match Lugano is a favorite.
There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Hamstring Injury) Bottani M. (Yellow Cards) Mahou H. (Inactive) Papadopoulos A. (Red Card) Pseftis F. (Inactive) Vladi S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Celje: Ajhmajer N. (Knee Injury) Nemanic K. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Lugano: El Wafi A. (Inactive)
Our prediction for today's Celje to win the game is with odds 4.5.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Celje?

Lugano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Lugano?

Celje has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Celje were as follows:

06.03.2025 Celje - Lugano 1:0

Latest results of Lugano

09.03.2025 Sion - Lugano 2:1 ✺

06.03.2025 Celje - Lugano 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Lugano - Zürich 0:3 ✺

26.02.2025 Biel-Bienne - Lugano 2:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Young Boys - Lugano 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Celje

09.03.2025 Celje - Primorje 2:2 ✺

06.03.2025 Celje - Lugano 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje 2:0 ✺

26.02.2025 Celje - Tabor Sežana 3:2 ✺

23.02.2025 Celje - Radomlje 9:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Dundee Utd	Bye
2	Bye	UNA Strassen
3	Larne	Auda
6	Urartu	Neman
7	Vaduz	Bye
8	Bye	Dungannon
9	Silkeborg	Bye
10	Bye	KA Akureyri
11	Rosenborg	Bye
12	Bye	Banga
13	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange
14	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
15	Austria Vienna	Bye
16	Bye	Spaeri
17	FC Ballkani	Bye
18	Floriana	Haverfordwest
19	Viking	Bye
20	Zeljeznicar	Koper
21	AEK Athens FC	Bye
23	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan
24	Bye	Gyor
25	Riga FC	Bye
26	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori
27	Rakow	Bye
28	Bye	Zilina
29	Birkirkara	Petrocub
31	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
32	Bye	U. Cluj
33	Varazdin	Bye
34	Bye	Santa Clara
35	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont
36	Valur	Flora
38	Bye	Maribor
39	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils
40	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik
41	Hammarby	Bye
42	Bye	Charleroi
43	Radnicki 1923	Bye
44	SJK	Klaksvik
45	Novi Pazar	Bye
46	Bye	Jagiellonia
47	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
48	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma
49	La Fiorita	Vardar
50	Bye	Lausanne
51	HB Torshavn	Bye
52	Bye	Brondby
53	Oleksandriya	Bye
55	Hibernians	Bye
57	St. Patricks	Hegelmann
58	Kalju	Partizani
59	AIK	Bye
60	Magpies	Paide
61	FK Sarajevo	Bye
62	Bye	Univ. Craiova
63	Aris	Bye
64	Bye	Puskas Academy
65	St Josephs	Cliftonville
66	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
68	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
69	Zira	Bye
70	Bye	Hajduk Split
71	Arda	Bye
72	NSI Runavik	HJK
74	Bye	Sparta Prague
75	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
76	Bye	FC Astana
77	Decic	Sileks
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	Araz	Bye
82	Bye	Aris
83	Omonia	Bye
84	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy
85	Cherno More	Bye
86	Bye	Basaksehir
87	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest
88	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem

Quarter-finals

1	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
2	TBD #3	Bye
3	Bye	TBD #6
4	Vaduz	Dungannon
5	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri
6	Rosenborg	Banga
7	TBD #13	Dinamo Tirana
8	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
9	FC Ballkani	TBD #18
10	Viking	TBD #20
11	AEK Athens FC	Bye
12	TBD #23	Gyor
13	Riga FC	TBD #26
14	Rakow	Zilina
15	TBD #29	Bye
16	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
17	Varazdin	Santa Clara
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	Bye	Maribor
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	Hammarby	Charleroi
22	Radnicki 1923	TBD #44
23	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
24	Polissya Zhytomyr	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	Lausanne
26	HB Torshavn	Brondby
27	Oleksandriya	Bye
28	Hibernians	Bye
29	TBD #57	TBD #58
30	AIK	TBD #60
31	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
32	Aris	Puskas Academy
33	TBD #65	Shamrock Rovers
34	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
35	Zira	Hajduk Split
36	Arda	TBD #72
37	Bye	Sparta Prague
38	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
39	TBD #77	SK Rapid
40	TBD #79	Maccabi Haifa
41	Araz	Aris
42	Omonia	TBD #84
43	Cherno More	Basaksehir
44	TBD #87	Beitar Jerusalem

Which TV channels are streaming of Lugano - Celje?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport 6
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 15
Greece	ANT 1+
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 2
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, Sport TV1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, VIX App