Result
2:4
14/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Switzerland | RSI La 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (355/401) | 86% (304/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 3.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (355/401) | 86% (304/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (33/49) | 62% (29/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (93/121) | 72% (69/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.74 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Grgic A. (Pen),
- 22', 1 - 1, Kovacevic F. ⚽, Kvesic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Kelvin D. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 55', Duville-Parsemain A. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 58', Steffen R. 🟨,
- 59', Karnicnik Z. 🟨,
- 62', Grgic A. 🟨,
- 65', Belhadj M. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 65', Pihlstrom E. ↓, Bislimi U. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Kvesic M. ⚽, Avdyli M. (A),
- 70', 2 - 2, Papadopoulos A. ⚽,
- 71', Karnicnik Z. ↓, Boben M. ↑,
- 71', Juanjo Nieto ↓, Daniel P. ↑,
- 74', Bislimi U. 🟨,
- 78', Iosifov N. ↓, Vidovic I. ↑,
- 78', Sturm D. ↓, Chidi A. ↑,
- 78', Koutsias G. ↓, Behrens K. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 3, Steffen R. ⚽, Dos Santos D. (A),
- 82', Kvesic M. ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 4, Alioski E. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Celje
40% | Draw
26.9% | Lugano
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celje's form might have worsened.Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Celje - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(1.94) |
3.52 ↓
(3.65) |
2.91 ↓
(3.41) |
6%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Celje - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Lugano will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 5-0. 2nd leg.
- Celje is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lugano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Celje could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Celje will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Celje won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 3.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Celje won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Lugano?
Celje has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Celje?
Lugano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celje - Lugano were as follows:
07.08.2025
Lugano
-
Celje
0:5
13.03.2025
Lugano
-
Celje
5:5
06.03.2025
Celje
-
Lugano
1:0
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | RFS | |
| 9 | Shelbourne | Bye | |
| 13 | Vikingur | Bye | |
| 15 | Zalgiris | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Linfield | |
| 17 | Breidablik | Bye | |
| 21 | Buducnost | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Milsami | |
| 24 | Bye | Virtus | |
| 25 | Drita | Bye | |
| 29 | TNS | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Differdange | |
| 31 | Levadia | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Iberia 1999 | |
| 33 | O. Ljubljana | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Inter Escaldes | |
| 35 | Din. Minsk | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Egnatia | |
| 40 | Bye | Noah | |
| 41 | Strasbourg | Bye | |
| 45 | Vllaznia | BFC Daugavpils | 4 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 46 | Malisheva | Vikingur Reykjavik | 0 : 8, 0 : 1 |
| 47 | HB Torshavn | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Brondby | |
| 49 | Silkeborg | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | KA Akureyri | |
| 51 | Novi Pazar | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Jagiellonia | |
| 53 | Zira | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Hajduk Split | |
| 55 | Atletic Escaldes | Dudelange | 3 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Dinamo Tirana | |
| 57 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Servette | |
| 65 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Sheriff Tiraspol | |
| 69 | Aris | Bye | |
| 70 | Bye | Puskas Academy | |
| 71 | AEK Athens FC | Bye | |
| 72 | Bye | H. Beer Sheva | |
| 73 | Viking | Bye | |
| 74 | Zeljeznicar | Koper | 1 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 75 | Cherno More | Bye | |
| 76 | Bye | Basaksehir | |
| 77 | FK Sarajevo | Bye | |
| 78 | Bye | Univ. Craiova | |
| 79 | Hibernians | Bye | |
| 80 | Bye | Trnava | |
| 81 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 88 | Bye | Fredrikstad | |
| 89 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 92 | Bye | Celje | |
| 93 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 95 | Austria Vienna | Bye | |
| 96 | Bye | Spaeri | |
| 97 | Rakow | Bye | |
| 98 | Bye | Zilina | |
| 99 | Zhodino | Rabotnicki | 1 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 100 | Bye | Maccabi Haifa | |
| 101 | Kauno Zalgiris | Penybont | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 102 | Valur | Flora | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 103 | Arda | Bye | |
| 104 | NSI Runavik | HJK | 0 : 5, 4 : 0 |
| 105 | Oleksandriya | Bye | |
| 106 | Bye | Partizan | |
| 108 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 112 | Bye | Legia | |
| 113 | Levski Sofia | Bye | |
| 115 | Birkirkara | Petrocub | 0 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 116 | Bye | Sabah Baku | |
| 117 | Ilves | Bye | |
| 118 | Bye | AZ Alkmaar | |
| 119 | Vaduz | Bye | |
| 120 | Bye | Dungannon | |
| 121 | Polissya Zhytomyr | Bye | |
| 122 | Borac Banja Luka | FC Santa Coloma | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 123 | Paks | Bye | |
| 124 | Bye | Maribor | |
| 128 | Bye | Fiorentina | |
| 129 | AIK | Bye | |
| 130 | Magpies | Paide | 1 : 4, 2 : 3 |
| 131 | Tre Fiori | Pyunik Yerevan | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 132 | Bye | Gyor | |
| 133 | Decic | Sileks | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 134 | Bye | SK Rapid | |
| 135 | Dundee Utd | Bye | |
| 136 | Bye | UNA Strassen | |
| 137 | Radnicki 1923 | Bye | |
| 138 | SJK | Klaksvik | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 139 | Kosice | Bye | |
| 140 | Urartu | Neman | 0 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 144 | Bye | Rayo Vallecano | |
| 145 | La Fiorita | Vardar | 2 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 146 | Bye | Lausanne | |
| 147 | Zimbru Chisinau | Bye | |
| 148 | Bye | FC Astana | |
| 149 | St. Patricks | Hegelmann | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 150 | Kalju | Partizani | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 152 | Bye | Besiktas | |
| 153 | Larne | Auda | 3 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 154 | Bye | Prishtina | |
| 155 | Varazdin | Bye | |
| 156 | Bye | Santa Clara | |
| 157 | FC Ballkani | Bye | |
| 158 | Floriana | Haverfordwest | 3 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 159 | St Josephs | Cliftonville | 3 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 160 | Bye | Shamrock Rovers | |
| 161 | Rosenborg | Bye | |
| 162 | Bye | Banga | |
| 163 | Hammarby | Bye | |
| 164 | Bye | Charleroi | |
| 168 | Bye | Mainz | |
| 169 | Aktobe | Bye | |
| 170 | Bye | Sparta Prague | |
| 171 | Ararat-Armenia | Bye | |
| 172 | Bye | U. Cluj | |
| 173 | Riga FC | Bye | |
| 174 | Racing Luxembourg | Dila Gori | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 175 | Sutjeska | Dynamo Brest | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 176 | Bye | Beitar Jerusalem | |
| 177 | Hacken | Bye | |
| 184 | Bye | CFR Cluj | |
| 185 | Wolfsberger AC | Bye | |
| 189 | Araz | Bye | |
| 190 | Bye | Aris | |
| 191 | Omonia | Bye | |
| 192 | Torpedo Kutaisi | Ordabasy | 1 : 1, 4 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | RFS | |
| 5 | Shelbourne | Bye | |
| 7 | Vikingur | Bye | |
| 8 | Zalgiris | Linfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | Breidablik | Bye | |
| 11 | Buducnost | Milsami | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Virtus | |
| 13 | Drita | Bye | |
| 15 | TNS | Differdange | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Levadia | Iberia 1999 | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 17 | O. Ljubljana | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 1, 4 : 2 |
| 18 | Din. Minsk | Egnatia | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Noah | |
| 21 | Strasbourg | Bye | |
| 23 | Vllaznia | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2 : 4, 2 : 1 |
| 24 | HB Torshavn | Brondby | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 25 | Silkeborg | KA Akureyri | 3 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 26 | Novi Pazar | Jagiellonia | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Zira | Hajduk Split | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Atletic Escaldes | Dinamo Tirana | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Servette | |
| 33 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Sheriff Tiraspol | |
| 35 | Aris | Puskas Academy | 2 : 0, 3 : 2 |
| 36 | AEK Athens FC | H. Beer Sheva | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 37 | Viking | Koper | 5 : 3, 7 : 0 |
| 38 | Cherno More | Basaksehir | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 39 | FK Sarajevo | Univ. Craiova | 0 : 4, 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Hibernians | Trnava | 1 : 5, 1 : 2 |
| 41 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fredrikstad | |
| 45 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Celje | |
| 47 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 48 | Austria Vienna | Spaeri | 5 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 49 | Rakow | Zilina | 3 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Zhodino | Maccabi Haifa | 0 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 51 | Kauno Zalgiris | Valur | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 52 | Arda | HJK | 3 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 53 | Oleksandriya | Partizan | 0 : 4, 0 : 2 |
| 54 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 56 | Bye | Legia | |
| 57 | Levski Sofia | Bye | |
| 58 | Petrocub | Sabah Baku | 1 : 4, 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Ilves | AZ Alkmaar | 0 : 5, 4 : 3 |
| 60 | Vaduz | Dungannon | 3 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 61 | Polissya Zhytomyr | FC Santa Coloma | 4 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 62 | Paks | Maribor | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Fiorentina | |
| 65 | AIK | Paide | 6 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 66 | Pyunik Yerevan | Gyor | 1 : 3, 2 : 1 |
| 67 | Decic | SK Rapid | 2 : 4, 0 : 2 |
| 68 | Dundee Utd | UNA Strassen | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 69 | Radnicki 1923 | Klaksvik | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 70 | Kosice | Neman | 1 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 72 | Bye | Rayo Vallecano | |
| 73 | Vardar | Lausanne | 0 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 74 | Zimbru Chisinau | FC Astana | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 75 | St. Patricks | Kalju | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 76 | Bye | Besiktas | |
| 77 | Larne | Prishtina | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 78 | Varazdin | Santa Clara | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 79 | FC Ballkani | Floriana | 1 : 1, 4 : 2 |
| 80 | St Josephs | Shamrock Rovers | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 81 | Rosenborg | Banga | 2 : 0, 5 : 0 |
| 82 | Hammarby | Charleroi | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 84 | Bye | Mainz | |
| 85 | Aktobe | Sparta Prague | 0 : 4, 2 : 1 |
| 86 | Ararat-Armenia | U. Cluj | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 87 | Riga FC | Dila Gori | 3 : 3, 2 : 1 |
| 88 | Sutjeska | Beitar Jerusalem | 2 : 5, 1 : 2 |
| 89 | Hacken | Bye | |
| 92 | Bye | CFR Cluj | |
| 93 | Wolfsberger AC | Bye | |
| 95 | Araz | Aris | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 96 | Omonia | Torpedo Kutaisi | 4 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | RFS | |
| 3 | Shelbourne | Bye | |
| 4 | Vikingur | Linfield | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Breidablik | Bye | |
| 6 | Milsami | Virtus | 0 : 3, 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Drita | Bye | |
| 8 | Differdange | Levadia | 3 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 9 | O. Ljubljana | Egnatia | 4 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Noah | |
| 11 | Strasbourg | Bye | |
| 12 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Brondby | 0 : 4, 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Silkeborg | Jagiellonia | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Hajduk Split | Dinamo Tirana | 1 : 3, 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Servette | |
| 17 | Anderlecht | Sheriff Tiraspol | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Aris | AEK Athens FC | 1 : 3, 2 : 2 |
| 19 | Viking | Basaksehir | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Univ. Craiova | Trnava | 3 : 4, 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fredrikstad | |
| 23 | Lugano | Celje | 4 : 2, 0 : 5 |
| 24 | Ostrava | Austria Vienna | 1 : 1, 4 : 3 |
| 25 | Rakow | Maccabi Haifa | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 26 | Kauno Zalgiris | Arda | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Partizan | Hibernian | 3 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Legia | |
| 29 | Levski Sofia | Sabah Baku | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | AZ Alkmaar | Vaduz | 1 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 31 | Polissya Zhytomyr | Paks | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Fiorentina | |
| 33 | AIK | Gyor | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 34 | SK Rapid | Dundee Utd | 3 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 35 | Klaksvik | Neman | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Rayo Vallecano | |
| 37 | Lausanne | FC Astana | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 38 | St. Patricks | Besiktas | 2 : 3, 1 : 4 |
| 39 | Larne | Santa Clara | 0 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 40 | FC Ballkani | Shamrock Rovers | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Rosenborg | Hammarby | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 42 | Bye | Mainz | |
| 43 | Sparta Prague | Ararat-Armenia | 2 : 1, 4 : 1 |
| 44 | Riga FC | Beitar Jerusalem | 1 : 3, 3 : 0 |
| 45 | Hacken | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | CFR Cluj | |
| 47 | Wolfsberger AC | Bye | |
| 48 | Araz | Omonia | 0 : 5, 0 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Hamrun | RFS | |
| 2 | Shelbourne | Linfield | |
| 3 | Breidablik | Virtus | |
| 4 | Drita | Differdange | |
| 5 | O. Ljubljana | Noah | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | Brondby | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia | Dinamo Tirana | |
| 8 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Servette | |
| 9 | Anderlecht | AEK Athens FC | |
| 10 | Basaksehir | Univ. Craiova | |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | Fredrikstad | |
| 12 | Celje | Ostrava | |
| 13 | Rakow | Arda | |
| 14 | Hibernian | Legia | |
| 15 | Levski Sofia | AZ Alkmaar | |
| 16 | Polissya Zhytomyr | Fiorentina | |
| 17 | Gyor | SK Rapid | |
| 18 | Neman | Rayo Vallecano | |
| 19 | Lausanne | Besiktas | |
| 20 | Santa Clara | Shamrock Rovers | |
| 21 | Rosenborg | Mainz | |
| 22 | Sparta Prague | Riga FC | |
| 23 | Hacken | CFR Cluj | |
| 24 | Wolfsberger AC | Omonia | |
