Vitoria Guimarães vs Celje – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Vitoria Guimarães - Celje
Result
3:1
02/10/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 4
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 254
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+, SportsMax App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.920.26
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
175
Shots on Goal
92
Shots off Goal
51
Blocked Shots
32
Free Kicks
810
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
31
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Fouls
77
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
525436
Completed Passes
473388
Crosses Completed
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Samu , Kaio Cesar (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Gustavo , Gaspar B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Juanjo Nieto , Brnic I. ,
  • 62', 3 - 0, Tiago Silva , Gustavo (A),
  • 63', Dulca M. , Lhernault C. ,
  • 66', Bobicanec L. , Kouter N. ,
  • 67', Oliveira N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 67', Tiago Silva , Ze Carlos ,
  • 67', Gustavo , Santos N. ,
  • 70', Kucys A. 🟨,
  • 73', Kucys A. , Edmilson ,
  • 76', Samu , Mendes J. ,
  • 76', Handel T. , Manu ,
  • 87', Edmilson 🟨,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Matko A. , Brnic I. (A),

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
69.1%
Draw
19.2%
Celje
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5% 22.5% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Celje Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.44)
    4.88
    (4.46)
    8.11
    (6.49)
    6%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Celje?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Celje will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 82.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Guimarães is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Celje were as follows:
    03.08.2023 Vitoria Guimarães - Celje 0:2
    27.07.2023 Celje - Vitoria Guimarães 3:4
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Celje
    28.09.2024 NK Bravo - Celje 3:2
    25.09.2024 Dravinja - Celje 0:3
    22.09.2024 Domžale - Celje 0:3
    18.09.2024 Celje - Maribor 2:1
    15.09.2024 Celje - Nafta 3:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)