Result
0:2
19/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5 |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
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 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
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 Finland | Viaplay |
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 Germany | RTL+ |
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 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
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 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
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 Nigeria | SuperSport Premier League |
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 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
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 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
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 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
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 Turkey | Tabii Spor 1, Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (238/289) | 90% (499/556) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 3.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (238/289) | 90% (499/556) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (49/76) | 81% (165/204) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.59 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Niakhate M. 🟥,
- 33', Swedberg W. 🟨,
- 43', Starfelt C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Yaremchuk R. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
- 46', Swedberg W. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
- 46', Starfelt C. ↓, Aidoo J. ↑,
- 53', Lopez F. 🟨,
- 57', Lopez F. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
- 57', Duran P. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Rueda J. ⚽, Alvarez H. (A),
- 67', Nartey N. ↓, Mangala O. ↑,
- 67', Endrick ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
- 67', Abner Vinicius ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
- 81', Vecino M. ↓, Sotelo H. ↑,
- 81', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
- 82', Morton T. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 83', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 89', Rueda J. 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, Jutgla F. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 90+6', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lyon
43.4% | Draw
29% | Celta de Vigo
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Lyon - Celta de Vigo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.99) |
3.29 ↓
(3.36) |
3.5 ↓
(3.95) |
4.4%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lyon - Celta de Vigo?
Users Predictions:
60 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 46 - 76.7%). Celta will win (votes: 5 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 66% – 87.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lyon (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- TQ, OT - Lyon (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Celta (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Celta (votes: 1 - 6.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- Lyon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Celta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Celta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lyon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Celta de Vigo?
Lyon has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against Lyon?
Celta de Vigo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Celta de Vigo were as follows:
12.03.2026
Celta de Vigo
-
Lyon
1:1
29.07.2023
Celta de Vigo
-
Lyon
1:0
Latest results of Celta de Vigo
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Betis (4) | |
| 2 | Freiburg (7) | Celta Vigo (16) | |
| 3 | FC Porto (5) | Nottingham (13) | |
| 4 | Bologna (10) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
