Celta de Vigo vs PAOK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 4, Cosmote Sport 4K
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.510.75
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
89% (587/660)83% (316/382)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.510.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.760.68
Total shots
155
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2612
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
139
Passes
89% (587/660)83% (316/382)
Long passes
59% (30/51)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
78% (114/147)58% (46/79)
Crosses
24% (4/17)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.39
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
913
Tackles
55% (11/20)100% (5/5)
Duels won
4826
Clearances
814
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.683.76
Goals prevented
-0.320.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Giakoumakis G. , Konstantelias G. (A),
  • 41', Mingueza O. 🟨,
  • 43', Swedberg W. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Aspas I. , Mingueza O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Giakoumakis G. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Iglesias B. , Swedberg W. (A),
  • 61', Bianco A. , Meite S. ,
  • 61', Giakoumakis G. , Chalov F. ,
  • 67', Iglesias B. , Jutgla F. ,
  • 67', Mingueza O. , Dominguez C. ,
  • 70', Camara M. , Taison ,
  • 70', Despodov K. , Zivkovic A. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Swedberg W. , Rueda J. (A),
  • 74', Swedberg W. , Duran P. ,
  • 74', Aspas I. , Zaragoza B. ,
  • 74', Vogliacco A. , Kedziora T. ,
  • 79', Moriba I. 🟨,
  • 83', Rueda J. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 90+2', Ozdoev M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Celta de Vigo
58.5%
Draw
23.7%
PAOK
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 23.8% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 25.7% 18.7%

Celta de Vigo - PAOK Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.64
(1.7)
4.05
(4)
5.36
(4.7)
4.4%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - PAOK?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Celta (votes: 18 - 69.2%). PAOK (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
  • Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (66 of 79 users predict this - 83.54%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.36%91.72%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Celta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Celta is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Carreira S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Berdos D. (Inactive) Gugeshashvili L. (Inactive) Murg T. (Inactive) Pelkas D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Celta: Ristic M. (Back Injury) Starfelt C. (Ankle Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    28.09.2025 Elche - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1
    31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1
    Latest results of PAOK
    28.09.2025 Asteras Tripolis - PAOK 3:3
    24.09.2025 PAOK - Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:0
    20.09.2025 PAOK - Panetolikos 0:0
    17.09.2025 Levadiakos - PAOK 4:1
    14.09.2025 OFI - PAOK 1:2
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon650113:31015
    2Midtjylland650113:5815
    3Aston Villa650110:4615
    4Betis642011:4714
    5Freiburg64209:3614
    6Ferencvaros642011:6514
    7Braga641110:5513
    8FC Porto64119:5413
    9Stuttgart640212:5712
    10AS Roma640210:5512
    11Nottingham632111:6511
    12Fenerbahce63219:5411
    13Bologna63219:5411
    14Plzen62406:2410
    15Panathinaikos63129:7210
    16Genk63127:6110
    17Crvena zvezda63125:5010
    18PAOK623113:1039
    19Celta Vigo630312:939
    20Lille630310:739
    21Young Boys63038:12-49
    22Brann62226:7-18
    23Ludogorets621311:14-37
    24Celtic62137:11-47
    25Din. Zagreb62138:13-57
    26Basel62048:9-16
    27FCSB62047:11-46
    28G.A. Eagles62045:11-66
    29Sturm Graz61144:8-44
    30Feyenoord61057:13-63
    31Salzburg61055:11-63
    32Utrecht60153:9-61
    33Rangers60153:11-81
    34Malmo FF60153:12-91
    35Maccabi Tel Aviv60152:18-161
    36Nice60064:13-90

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