Celta de Vigo vs PAOK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Celta de Vigo - PAOK
Result
3:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 4, Cosmote Sport 4K
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.510.75
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
89% (587/660)83% (316/382)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.510.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.760.68
Total shots
155
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2612
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
139
Passes
89% (587/660)83% (316/382)
Long passes
59% (30/51)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
78% (114/147)58% (46/79)
Crosses
24% (4/17)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.39
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
913
Tackles
55% (11/20)100% (5/5)
Duels won
4826
Clearances
814
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.683.76
Goals prevented
-0.320.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
  • 41', Mingueza O. 🟨,
  • 43', Swedberg W. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Aspas I. ⚽, Mingueza O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Giakoumakis G. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Swedberg W. (A),
  • 61', Bianco A. ↓, Meite S. ↑,
  • 61', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
  • 67', Iglesias B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
  • 67', Mingueza O. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
  • 70', Camara M. ↓, Taison ↑,
  • 70', Despodov K. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Swedberg W. ⚽, Rueda J. (A),
  • 74', Swedberg W. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
  • 74', Aspas I. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
  • 74', Vogliacco A. ↓, Kedziora T. ↑,
  • 79', Moriba I. 🟨,
  • 83', Rueda J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ozdoev M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Celta de Vigo
58.5%		Draw
23.7%		PAOK
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 23.8% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 25.7% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
    •

    Celta de Vigo - PAOK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.64 ↓
    (1.7)    		 4.05 ↑
    (4)    		 5.36 ↑
    (4.7)    		 4.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - PAOK?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Celta (votes: 18 - 69.2%). PAOK (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
    •
  • Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (66 of 79 users predict this - 83.54%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.36% – 91.72%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Celta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Celta is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Carreira S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Berdos D. (Inactive) Gugeshashvili L. (Inactive) Murg T. (Inactive) Pelkas D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Celta: Ristic M. (Back Injury) Starfelt C. (Ankle Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    28.09.2025 Elche - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺
    25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of PAOK
    28.09.2025 Asteras Tripolis - PAOK 3:3 ✺
    24.09.2025 PAOK - Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 PAOK - Panetolikos 0:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 Levadiakos - PAOK 4:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 OFI - PAOK 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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