Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo
Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 34
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.96
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
93% (560/605)88% (457/519)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.392.10
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2527
Accurate through passes
32
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
115
Passes
93% (560/605)88% (457/519)
Long passes
70% (33/47)67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
82% (117/143)79% (107/136)
Crosses
15% (2/13)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.47
Throw-ins
99
Fouls
511
Tackles
67% (8/12)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3826
Clearances
914
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.102.39
Goals prevented
0.10-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Guler A. ⚽, Lucas (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
  • 45', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
  • 54', Beltran F. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
  • 54', Carreira S. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
  • 62', Lago Y. 🟨,
  • 65', Iglesias B. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
  • 65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
  • 66', Asencio R. ↓, Ramon J. ↑,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
  • 74', Ceballos D. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 75', Sotelo H. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
  • 76', 3 - 2, Swedberg W. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),
  • 83', Guler A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 90+5', Ramon J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
68.8%		Draw
17.5%		Celta de Vigo
13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6% 16.8% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Real Madrid have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Celta de Vigo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.4 ↑
    (1.4)    		 5.47 ↓
    (5.5)    		 7.04 ↑
    (6.98)    		 3.8%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 53 - 89.8%). Celta will win (votes: 2 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 82.1% – 97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Real is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 5.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Illness) Rudiger A. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Celta: El Abdellaoui J. (Thigh Injury) Starfelt C. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:21. (average 2.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 31:9. (average 3.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo were as follows:
    16.01.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 5:2
    19.10.2024 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 1:2
    10.03.2024 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 4:0
    25.08.2023 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 0:1
    22.04.2023 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 2:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2 ✺
    23.04.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺
    16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    23.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 3:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Barcelona - Celta de Vigo 4:3 ✺
    12.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Espanyol 0:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:2 ✺
    31.03.2025 Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
    albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN+
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cubaCubaTele Rebelde
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+
    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoK Sport 1
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    madagascarMadagascarUpTV
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
    taiwanTaiwanDAZN
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online
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