Celtic vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
2:1
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 2 ROI
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
japanJapanWowow Prime
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 17, Blue Sport 17
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Celtic TV, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.230.46
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
86% (518/603)71% (220/311)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.230.46
xG on target (xGOT)
3.030.53
Total shots
208
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
4512
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
86% (518/603)71% (220/311)
Long passes
51% (21/41)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
75% (136/181)57% (44/77)
Crosses
42% (10/24)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
3.470.39
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1616
Tackles
88% (7/8)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5545
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.533.03
Goals prevented
-0.471.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Iheanacho K. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Horvat T. ⚽, Rozga F. (A),
  • 26', Johnston A. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Oermann T. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
  • 56', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
  • 58', Carter-Vickers C. 🟨,
  • 59', Malone M. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
  • 59', Rozga F. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Scales L. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
  • 64', 2 - 1, Nygren B. ⚽, Engels A. (A),
  • 70', Chukwuani T. 🟥,
  • 78', Tounekti S. ↓, Balikwisha M. ↑,
  • 78', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
  • 82', Horvat T. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Celtic
65.5%		Draw
19.9%		Sturm Graz
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 21.7% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5% 24% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Celtic - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.47 ↓
    (1.52)    		 4.85 ↑
    (4.38)    		 6.68 ↑
    (6.15)    		 3.7%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Celtic - Sturm Graz?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Sturm will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 53.2% – 84%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Celtic (votes: 7 - 70%). Sturm (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3 - Sturm (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Sturm (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - Sturm (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25, 1st Half - Sturm (4.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Sturm (4.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Sturm (7.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Sturm (12.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Sturm (10.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Sturm (13.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Sturm (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Sturm (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.75 - Sturm (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75, 1st Half - Sturm (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25, 1st Half - Sturm (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, 1st Half - Sturm (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Celtic (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Sturm (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Sturm (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Celtic (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Sturm (votes: 20 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Celtic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sturm is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Celtic is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Celtic: Inamura H. (Inactive) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Inactive) Simpson-Pusey J. (Inactive) Yamada S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury) Malic A. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Celtic: Bernardo P. (Illness) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Maeda D. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Beganovic B. (Injury) Christensen O. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Celtic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Celtic
    19.10.2025 Dundee - Celtic 2:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Celtic - Motherwell 3:2 ✺
    02.10.2025 Celtic - Braga 0:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Celtic - Hibernian 0:0 ✺
    24.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celtic 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    19.10.2025 Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz 3:4 ✺
    05.10.2025 Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz 0:2 ✺
    02.10.2025 Sturm Graz - Glasgow Rangers 2:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Sturm Graz - Hartberg 1:0 ✺
    24.09.2025 Midtjylland - Sturm Graz 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)2 : 1
    2Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 2
    3Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)1 : 3
    4PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)1 : 2
    5Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 4
    6Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)0 : 3
    7Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1
    8Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)0 : 1
    9FC Porto (5)Bye
    10Braga (6)Bye
    11Midtjylland (3)Bye
    12Betis (4)Bye
    13Freiburg (7)Bye
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lyon (1)Bye
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye
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