Result
0:0
12/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 26
- Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/447) | 67% (188/280) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/447) | 67% (188/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 39% (28/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (120/163) | 45% (29/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Vallci A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Mamageishvili G. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
- 60', Weinhandl L. ↓, Fosso R. ↑,
- 64', Hoffmann M. ↓, Aziz M. ↑,
- 67', Kainz T. 🟨,
- 77', Heil J. ↓, Hennig M. ↑,
- 82', Coulibaly H. 🟨,
- 82', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 86', Jatta S. ↓, Wilson R. ↑,
- 90', Fridrikas L. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
- 90', Schopp K. ↓, Halwachs J. ↑,
- 90', Havel E. ↓, Kovacevic D. ↑,
- 90+2', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
56.5% | Draw
24.5% | Hartberg
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz's performance.Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Sturm Graz - Hartberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.81) |
3.8 ↑
(3.38) |
4.99 ↑
(4.15) |
6.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Hartberg?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Hartberg will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 4.
- Sturm is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hartberg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Sturm is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B.
(Ankle Injury)
Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hartberg: Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
Spendlhofer L.
(Red Card)
Vincze D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Rozga F.
(Injury)
- We predict that Sturm will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Hartberg?
Sturm Graz has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Sturm Graz?
Hartberg has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Hartberg were as follows:
30.11.2025
Hartberg
-
Sturm Graz
0:1
28.09.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
1:0
09.11.2024
Hartberg
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
11.08.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
2:0
05.05.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
1:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LASK | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:40 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | SK Rapid | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
