Barbadás vs Céltiga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
12/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, ,
  • 35', 2 - 1, ,
  • 45', 3 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 87', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Barbadás
22.7%
Draw
29.8%
Céltiga
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 29.8% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 27.4% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barbadás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Barbadás - Céltiga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.98
    (3.98)
    3.04
    (3.05)
    1.91
    (1.92)
    10.5%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Barbadás has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Céltiga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Céltiga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Céltiga is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barbadás won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barbadás - Céltiga were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Céltiga - Barbadás 2:0
    Latest results of Barbadás
    02.04.2026 Montañeros - Barbadás 2:1
    29.03.2026 Barbadás - Boiro 1:2
    22.03.2026 Barco - Barbadás 2:0
    19.03.2026 Barbadás - Compostela 0:1
    Latest results of Céltiga
    05.04.2026 Céltiga - Alondras 0:1
    02.04.2026 Boiro - Céltiga 1:1
    28.03.2026 Lugo B - Céltiga 1:2
    22.03.2026 Céltiga - Gran Peña 1:1
    19.03.2026 Silva SD - Céltiga 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela30179449:242560
    2Arosa SC301610451:331858
    3Atletico Arteixo30149748:341451
    4Somozas301210831:26546
    5Racing Club Villalbes301113632:211146
    6Barco301361133:35-245
    7Estradense301111838:29944
    8Boiro301111834:25944
    9Montaneros301110941:36543
    10Gran Pena301012844:38642
    11Lugo B301011931:32-141
    12Celtiga301171243:38540
    13Alondras301091140:42-239
    14Viveiro308101225:37-1234
    15Cambados304141223:33-1026
    16Silva SD30681623:43-2026
    17Noia30471919:47-2819
    18Barbadas-Bentraces30471923:55-3219

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