Central Coast Mariners vs Macarthur FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC
Result
2:2
20/04/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 27
  • Referee: King A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.45
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
77% (251/325)87% (476/549)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.45
xG on target (xGOT)
2.012.32
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1634
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
98
Passes
77% (251/325)87% (476/549)
Long passes
37% (24/65)65% (32/49)
Passes in final third
65% (54/83)74% (129/174)
Crosses
38% (6/16)31% (11/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.91
Fouls
89
Tackles
56% (5/9)42% (8/19)
Duels won
4455
Clearances Total
4027
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.322.01
Goals prevented
0.450.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Sainsbury T. , McCalmont A. (A),
  • 18', Hollman J. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Boli K. , Jakolis M. (A),
  • 27', Deli F. 🟨,
  • 28', Jakolis M. 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 1, De Lima A. , Sainsbury T. (A),
  • 39', Herrington D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ikonomidis C. , Sawyer H. ,
  • 49', 2 - 2, Sawyer H. , Jakolis M. (A),
  • 63', Di Pizio M. , Brandtman B. ,
  • 63', Herrington D. , Theoharous C. ,
  • 70', Scott W. 🟨,
  • 70', Hollman J. , De Silva D. ,
  • 70', Deli F. , Rose L. ,
  • 75', Kuol A. , Duarte N. ,
  • 75', Scott W. , Bosnjak D. ,
  • 85', De Lima A. , Steele H. ,
  • 89', Adamson K. , Makrillos P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Central Coast Mariners
28.9%
Draw
24.4%
Macarthur FC
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 26.4% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 27% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.
  • Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Macarthur FC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Macarthur FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (2.52)
    3.88
    (3.58)
    2.05
    (2.62)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Macarthur FC will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 3.
    • Central Coast is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Macarthur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Macarthur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Central Coast have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Edmondson R. (Injury) Roux S. (Red Card) Tapp B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Macarthur: Popovic K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Macarthur: Uskok T. (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:19 (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Central Coast won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:13 (average 2.3:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC were as follows:
    23.12.2024 Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners 1:1
    10.03.2024 Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners 0:3
    22.02.2024 Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners 2:3
    29.10.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC 1:2
    11.03.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC 4:1
    Latest results of Macarthur FC
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0