Result
2:2
20/04/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 27
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (251/325) | 87% (476/549) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (251/325) | 87% (476/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (24/65) | 65% (32/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (54/83) | 74% (129/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 31% (11/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.91 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Sainsbury T. ⚽, McCalmont A. (A),
- 18', Hollman J. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 1, Boli K. ⚽, Jakolis M. (A),
- 27', Deli F. 🟨,
- 28', Jakolis M. 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 1, De Lima A. ⚽, Sainsbury T. (A),
- 39', Herrington D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ikonomidis C. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 2, Sawyer H. ⚽, Jakolis M. (A),
- 63', Di Pizio M. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
- 63', Herrington D. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
- 70', Scott W. 🟨,
- 70', Hollman J. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
- 70', Deli F. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
- 75', Kuol A. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
- 75', Scott W. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
- 85', De Lima A. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
- 89', Adamson K. ↓, Makrillos P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners
28.9% | Draw
24.4% | Macarthur FC
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Macarthur FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Macarthur FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↑
(2.52) |
3.88 ↑
(3.58) |
2.05 ↓
(2.62) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Macarthur FC will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 3.
- Central Coast is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Macarthur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Macarthur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Central Coast have a series of guest games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Central Coast: Edmondson R.
(Injury)
Roux S.
(Red Card)
Tapp B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Macarthur: Popovic K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Macarthur: Uskok T.
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:19 (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Central Coast won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:13 (average 2.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Macarthur FC?
Central Coast Mariners has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Central Coast Mariners?
Macarthur FC has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC were as follows:
23.12.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:1
10.03.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:3
22.02.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Central Coast Mariners
2:3
29.10.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Macarthur FC
1:2
11.03.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Macarthur FC
4:1
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
