Result
1:3
04/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football, Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/473) | 74% (230/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/473) | 74% (230/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (118/160) | 58% (47/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Vickery L. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, McCalmont A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+3', Auglah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Caceres A. 🟨,
- 55', Duran R. ↓, Popovic K. ↑,
- 55', Da Silva D. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 58', Paull N. 🟨,
- 61', Auglah A. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
- 61', Taniguchi K. ↓, Eames H. ↑,
- 61', Lavale O. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Brandtman B. ⚽,
- 67', 1 - 2, Caceres A. ⚽, Duke M. (A),
- 68', Uskok T. 🟥,
- 73', Duke M. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
- 77', Robinson A. 🟥,
- 79', Vickery L. ↓, Kurto F. ↑,
- 80', Brattan L. ↓, Randazzo O. ↑,
- 80', Brandtman B. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Blair N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Macarthur FC
58.7% | Draw
21.4% | Central Coast Mariners
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.7) |
4.37 ↑
(3.7) |
4.76 ↑
(4.33) |
5.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Central Coast will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 36.2% – 76.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Macarthur (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Central Coast (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Central Coast (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Central Coast (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Central Coast (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Macarthur (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Macarthur FC will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Central Coast (votes: 5 - 41.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 0.
- Recent form of Macarthur has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Central Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Macarthur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Macarthur is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Central Coast Mariners?
Macarthur FC has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Macarthur FC?
Central Coast Mariners has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
17.01.2026
Central Coast Mariners
-
Macarthur FC
1:1
20.04.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Macarthur FC
2:2
23.12.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:1
10.03.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:3
22.02.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Central Coast Mariners
2:3
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
