Macarthur FC vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
1:3
04/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football, Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3, Sky Sport 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.012.16
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
57
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
35
Passes
84% (395/473)74% (230/312)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.012.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.842.58
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
65
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
79
Passes
84% (395/473)74% (230/312)
Long passes
54% (28/52)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
74% (118/160)58% (47/81)
Crosses
15% (4/26)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.44
Throw ins
3229
Fouls
97
Tackles
56% (9/16)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
2.580.84
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Vickery L. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, McCalmont A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+3', Auglah A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', Caceres A. 🟨,
  • 55', Duran R. ↓, Popovic K. ↑,
  • 55', Da Silva D. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
  • 58', Paull N. 🟨,
  • 61', Auglah A. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
  • 61', Taniguchi K. ↓, Eames H. ↑,
  • 61', Lavale O. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
  • 65', 0 - 2, Brandtman B. ⚽,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Caceres A. ⚽, Duke M. (A),
  • 68', Uskok T. 🟥,
  • 73', Duke M. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
  • 77', Robinson A. 🟥,
  • 79', Vickery L. ↓, Kurto F. ↑,
  • 80', Brattan L. ↓, Randazzo O. ↑,
  • 80', Brandtman B. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
  • 84', 1 - 3, Blair N. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Macarthur FC
58.7%		Draw
21.4%		Central Coast Mariners
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 24.8% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 27.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.62 ↓
    (1.7)    		 4.37 ↑
    (3.7)    		 4.76 ↑
    (4.33)    		 5.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Central Coast will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 36.2% – 76.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Macarthur (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Central Coast (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Central Coast (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Central Coast (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Central Coast (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Macarthur (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Macarthur FC will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Central Coast (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 0.
    • Recent form of Macarthur has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Central Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Macarthur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Macarthur is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    17.01.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC 1:1
    20.04.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC 2:2
    23.12.2024 Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners 1:1
    10.03.2024 Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners 0:3
    22.02.2024 Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners 2:3
    Latest results of Macarthur FC
    28.02.2026 Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers 0:4 ✺
    22.02.2026 Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC 1:0 ✺
    19.02.2026 Macarthur FC - Bangkok United 2:2 ✺
    12.02.2026 Bangkok United - Macarthur FC 2:0 ✺
    06.02.2026 Macarthur FC - Perth Glory 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
    28.02.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 0:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 1:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:0 ✺
    23.01.2026 Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners 2:2 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets22141746:331343
    2Auckland FC22116537:231439
    3Melbourne Victory22105738:281035
    4Adelaide United22105739:32735
    5Sydney FC22103929:23633
    6Macarthur FC2277828:36-828
    7Central Coast Mariners2176829:32-327
    8Wellington Phoenix2276933:41-827
    9Melbourne City2168722:28-626
    10Brisbane Roar22661022:29-724
    11Perth Glory22651125:35-1023
    12WS Wanderers22561126:34-821

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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