Result
4:0
25/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 26
- Referee: Berg C. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 9 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (410/488) | 81% (339/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (410/488) | 81% (339/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (99/131) | 62% (46/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 70% (19/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 3.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Dobson W. ⚽, Gibson B. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Taylor C. ⚽, Adams E. (A),
- 44', 3 - 0, Adams E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tapp B. ↓, Paull N. ↑,
- 56', Adams E. ↓, Clough Z. ↑,
- 56', Shaughnessy J. ↓, Cooper M. ↑,
- 62', Blair N. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
- 62', Mantell J. ↓, Di Pizio M. ↑,
- 68', Gibson B. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
- 68', Dobson W. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 77', Bayliss L. 🟨,
- 78', Lavale O. 🟨,
- 80', Auglah A. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
- 80', Taylor C. ↓, Grozos K. ↑,
- 86', Eames H. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 0, Mizunuma K. ⚽, Bayliss L. (A),
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
59.7% | Draw
20% | Central Coast Mariners
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.51) |
4.74 ↓
(5) |
4.67 ↓
(5.21) |
5.9%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Newcastle Jets will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- Newcastle is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Aquilina T.
(Injury)
Badolato A.
(Knee Injury)
Baylis J.
(Inactive)
Bracco C.
(Knee Injury)
Cockle O.
(Inactive)
Dobson W.
(Inactive)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Inactive)
Shaughnessy J.
(Inactive)
Van Dorssen B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S.
(Injury)
Di Pizio M.
(Injury)
McCalmont A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Central Coast: James Ngor S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.8:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Central Coast Mariners?
Newcastle Jets has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Newcastle Jets?
Central Coast Mariners has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
28.02.2026
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
0:0
19.10.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
3:2
12.04.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Central Coast Mariners
6:0
01.02.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
2:2
22.11.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
