Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
28/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 19
  • Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport Select
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.530.78
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
64
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
54
Passes
79% (302/380)85% (424/501)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.530.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.44
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free kicks
88
Passes
79% (302/380)85% (424/501)
Long passes
43% (27/63)65% (13/20)
Passes in final third
64% (72/112)71% (112/158)
Crosses
14% (3/21)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.17
Throw ins
2534
Fouls
88
Tackles
73% (22/30)50% (10/20)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
2531
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.441.17
Goals prevented
-0.561.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Roux S. , Nasso J. ,
  • 29', Di Pizio M. , McCalmont A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Bayliss L. 🟨,
  • 64', Dobson W. , Scicluna L. ,
  • 72', Adams E. , Mizunuma K. ,
  • 72', Taylor C. , Bertoncello X. ,
  • 75', Tapp B. 🟨,
  • 77', Eames H. , Blair N. ,
  • 77', Taniguchi K. , James Ngor S. ,
  • 82', Rose L. , Gibson B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Central Coast Mariners
22.4%
Draw
21.8%
Newcastle Jets
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.7% 21% 60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6% 20.9% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.19
    (4.88)
    4.34
    (4.35)
    1.69
    (1.51)
    6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Central Coast (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Newcastle (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3.
    • Central Coast is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newcastle is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Newcastle is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Duarte N. (Inactive) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A. (Knee Injury) Baylis J. (Inactive) Bracco C. (Knee Injury) Clough Z. (Groin Injury) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) James N. (Inactive) Nkomo R. (Inactive) Van Dorssen B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 3:2
    12.04.2025 Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners 6:0
    01.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 2:2
    22.11.2024 Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners 1:2
    27.04.2024 Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners 1:3
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Macarthur FC1967624:28-425
    7Central Coast Mariners1865724:26-223
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)