Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Women Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners
Result
0:2
21/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 20
  • Referee: Ghirardello G. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.35
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1413
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
76
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1111
Offsides
70
Fouls
1111
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
3926
Touches in the Opposition Box
3713
Passes
67% (238/357)69% (222/323)
Passes in the final third
56% (79/141)48% (47/97)
Crosses
13% (3/23)17% (2/12)
Tackles
65% (15/23)78% (21/27)
Clearances Total
2943
Interceptions
1322

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Nunn B. 🟨,
  • 31', Dias C. 🟨,
  • 34', McCutcheon M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Rasmussen A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 2, Gomez I. ,
  • 55', Nash J. J. 🟨,
  • 55', Rowe S. 🟨,
  • 56', Nunn B. , Fuller T. ,
  • 65', McMeeken Z. , Tanaka M. ,
  • 65', Whinham A. , Brazendale D. ,
  • 68', Trimis P. , Puxty L. ,
  • 68', Rowe S. , Hughes B. ,
  • 72', Jale G. , Ingham O. ,
  • 79', Kelly A. , Jerez E. ,
  • 86', Jerez E. 🟨,
  • 90', Gomez I. , Quilligan T. ,

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
42.6%
Draw
27.2%
Central Coast Mariners
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 26.5% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 24.7% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.23)
    3.39
    (3.46)
    3.04
    (2.84)
    8.7%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • Central Coast could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Wellington will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Wellington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    12.01.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 1:2
    18.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2