Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 5
  • Referee: Allum S. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.050.85
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
67
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
04
Passes
73% (285/391)72% (292/404)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.050.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.91
Total shots
817
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
17
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
37
Shots outside the box
510
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
04
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free kicks
175
Passes
73% (285/391)72% (292/404)
Long passes
32% (19/60)26% (14/53)
Passes in final third
55% (43/78)46% (49/107)
Crosses
22% (2/9)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.52
Throw ins
2636
Fouls
517
Tackles
80% (20/25)74% (17/23)
Duels won
6451
Clearances
3515
Interceptions
1813
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
0.911.73
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', L. León , M. Woods ,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Familton E. , P. Trimis (A),
  • 60', M. Anthony , M. Fraser ,
  • 66', M. van der Meer , Tiana Jaber ,
  • 72', T. Fuller , Levin T. ,
  • 76', E. Pijnenburg , D. Brazendale ,
  • 76', Familton E. , T. Quilligan ,
  • 76', P. Vlok , Z. Benson ,
  • 83', 2 - 0, I. Gomez , Levin T. (A),
  • 87', B. Nunn 🟨,
  • 89', P. Trimis , B. Thew ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, M. Fraser ,

Chances of winning


Central Coast Mariners
24.7%
Draw
24.8%
Wellington Phoenix
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 25.8% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.72
    (3.5)
    3.71
    (3.45)
    1.82
    (1.83)
    8.8%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Central Coast (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Central Coast (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Central Coast has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wellington is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Wellington is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 1:2
    21.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 0:2
    26.01.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    12.01.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 1:2
    18.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Australian A-League Women Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W20124436:201640
    2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:172134
    3Canberra W2094730:24631
    4Brisbane Roar W2094737:39-231
    5Adelaide W2093824:26-230
    6Melbourne Victory W2084827:24328
    7Central Coast Mariners W2077627:26128
    8Perth W20731020:30-1024
    9Newcastle W20721130:36-623
    10Sydney W2047918:29-1119
    11WS Wanderers W20541118:34-1619

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)