Central Coast Mariners vs Western United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Central Coast Mariners - Western United
Result
1:3
28/02/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.563.83
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1716
Shots on Goal
310
Shots off Goal
93
Blocked Shots
53
Big Chances
46
Corner Kicks
105
Shots inside the Box
1214
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
Free Kicks
97
Offsides
00
Fouls
79
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1819
Touches in the Opposition Box
3238
Passes
82% (366/447)82% (368/449)
Passes in the final third
72% (103/144)66% (76/115)
Crosses
44% (11/25)42% (5/12)
Tackles
79% (15/19)63% (17/27)
Clearances Total
2436
Interceptions
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Walatee A. , Danzaki R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Kuol A. , Duarte N. ,
  • 46', Kuzevski S. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Botic N. , Danzaki R. (A),
  • 60', Steele H. , McCalmont A. ,
  • 60', Theoharous C. , Faisal A. ,
  • 64', Ibusuki H. , Ruhs M. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Imai T. (Own goal),
  • 78', Botic N. , Najjarine R. ,
  • 78', Grimaldi M. , Vickery L. ,
  • 78', Bozinovski R. , Lauton J. ,
  • 80', Lauton J. 🟨,
  • 81', Paull N. , Herrington D. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Vickery L. , Ruhs M. (A),
  • 86', Di Pizio M. , Brandtman B. ,
  • 86', McCalmont A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Vickery L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Ruhs M. ,

Chances of winning


Central Coast Mariners
26.6%
Draw
24.8%
Western United
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 25.8% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 25.9% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.
  • Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Central Coast Mariners - Western United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (2.85)
    3.81
    (3.66)
    1.96
    (2.31)
    5.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Western United?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Western United will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Western United: 57.5%87.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 4.
    • Central Coast is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Western United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Western United have a series of home games.
    • Western United will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Duarte N. (Injury) Edmondson R. (Injury) Sainsbury T. (Yellow Cards) Tapp B. (Knee Injury) Torres A. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26:18 (average 2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Central Coast won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:4 (average 2.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Western United were as follows:
    29.01.2025 Western United - Central Coast Mariners 2:2
    13.04.2024 Western United - Central Coast Mariners 0:2
    08.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Western United 4:0
    07.04.2023 Western United - Central Coast Mariners 0:3
    29.10.2022 Central Coast Mariners - Western United 4:2
    Latest results of Western United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0