Result
1:3
28/02/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 3.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 32 | 38 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (366/447) | 82% (368/449) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 72% (103/144) | 66% (76/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 42% (5/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 63% (17/27) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Walatee A. ↓, Danzaki R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Kuol A. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
- 46', Kuzevski S. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
- 60', Steele H. ↓, McCalmont A. ↑,
- 60', Theoharous C. ↓, Faisal A. ↑,
- 64', Ibusuki H. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Imai T. (Own goal),
- 78', Botic N. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
- 78', Grimaldi M. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
- 78', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 80', Lauton J. 🟨,
- 81', Paull N. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Vickery L. ⚽, Ruhs M. (A),
- 86', Di Pizio M. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
- 86', McCalmont A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Vickery L. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Ruhs M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners
26.6% | Draw
24.8% | Western United
48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Central Coast Mariners - Western United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(2.85) |
3.81 ↑
(3.66) |
1.96 ↓
(2.31) |
5.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Western United?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Western United will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western United: 57.5% – 87.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 4.
- Central Coast is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Western United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Western United have a series of home games.
- Western United will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Central Coast: Duarte N.
(Injury)
Edmondson R.
(Injury)
Sainsbury T.
(Yellow Cards)
Tapp B.
(Knee Injury)
Torres A.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26:18 (average 2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Central Coast won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:4 (average 2.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Western United?
Central Coast Mariners has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Central Coast Mariners?
Western United has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Western United were as follows:
29.01.2025
Western United
-
Central Coast Mariners
2:2
13.04.2024
Western United
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:2
08.12.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Western United
4:0
07.04.2023
Western United
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:3
29.10.2022
Central Coast Mariners
-
Western United
4:2
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Western United
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
