Result
1:3
28/02/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4 |
Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.56 | 3.83 |
Ball Possession |
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51% | 49% |
Goal Attempts |
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17 | 16 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 10 |
Shots off Goal |
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9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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7 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 7 |
Offsides |
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0 | 0 |
Fouls |
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7 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 19 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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32 | 38 |
Passes |
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82% (366/447) | 82% (368/449) |
Passes in the final third |
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72% (103/144) | 66% (76/115) |
Crosses |
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44% (11/25) | 42% (5/12) |
Tackles |
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79% (15/19) | 63% (17/27) |
Clearances Total |
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24 | 36 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Walatee A. ↓, Danzaki R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Kuol A. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
- 46', Kuzevski S. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
- 60', Steele H. ↓, McCalmont A. ↑,
- 60', Theoharous C. ↓, Faisal A. ↑,
- 64', Ibusuki H. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Imai T. (Own goal),
- 78', Botic N. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
- 78', Grimaldi M. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
- 78', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 80', Lauton J. 🟨,
- 81', Paull N. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Vickery L. ⚽, Ruhs M. (A),
- 86', Di Pizio M. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
- 86', McCalmont A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Vickery L. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Ruhs M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners 26.6% | Draw 24.8% | Western United 48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Central Coast Mariners - Western United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.59 ↑ (2.85) |
3.81 ↑ (3.66) |
1.96 ↓ (2.31) |
5.3% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Western United?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Western United will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western United: 57.5% – 87.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 4.
- Central Coast is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Western United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Western United have a series of home games.
- Western United will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Central Coast: Duarte N.
(Injury)
Edmondson R.
(Injury)
Sainsbury T.
(Yellow Cards)
Tapp B.
(Knee Injury)
Torres A.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26:18 (average 2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Central Coast won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:4 (average 2.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Western United?
Central Coast Mariners has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Central Coast Mariners?
Western United has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Western United were as follows:
29.01.2025
Western United
-
Central Coast Mariners
2:2
13.04.2024
Western United
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:2
08.12.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Western United
4:0
07.04.2023
Western United
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:3
29.10.2022
Central Coast Mariners
-
Western United
4:2
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Western United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |