Result
2:0 penalties
21/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (348/440) | 64% (200/314) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (348/440) | 64% (200/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 39% (29/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (112/157) | 52% (45/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 54% (14/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 79 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Canelo A. ↓, Marcelino Moreno ↑,
- 51', Watson F. N. 🟨,
- 55', Abascia L. 🟨,
- 61', Godoy M. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
- 61', Perello M. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
- 64', De F. O. 🟨,
- 70', Abascia L. ↓, Casermeiro Y. ↑,
- 70', Salvio E. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
- 70', Watson F. N. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 70', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 76', Heredia L. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
- 76', Martinez F. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
- 80', Cardozo A. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 89', Casermeiro Y. 🟨,
- 90', Castillo R. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Aquino D. ⚽, Mendez A. (A),
- 90+4', Medina A. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Veron G. (Pen),
- 1, Bou W. (Pen),
- 2, Cufre B. (Pen),
- 2, Izquierdoz C. (Pen),
- 3, Galvan J. (Pen),
- 3, Marcich S. (Pen),
- 4, Vera M. (Pen),
- 4, Marcelino Moreno (Pen),
Chances of winning
Lanús
48.2% | Draw
30.8% | Central Córdoba
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lanús, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Lanús - Central Córdoba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.89) |
3.06 ↓
(3.26) |
4.39 ↑
(4.33) |
6.7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lanús - Central Córdoba?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Central Córdoba will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 50%). Central Córdoba (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Lanús is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Central Córdoba?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Córdoba won against Lanús?
Central Córdoba has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Central Córdoba were as follows:
14.08.2025
Central Córdoba
-
Lanús
1:0
Latest results of Central Córdoba
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
