Sarmiento de Junín vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.87
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
73% (286/393)73% (254/349)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.50
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
73% (286/393)73% (254/349)
Long passes
31% (22/72)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
52% (55/106)68% (72/106)
Crosses
22% (6/27)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.92
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
1310
Tackles
60% (15/25)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6363
Clearances
2543
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.500.66
Goals prevented
-0.500.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Castillo R. , Watson F. N. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Castillo R. , Pena Biafore F. (A),
  • 45+2', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 57', Rodriguez S. , Morales I. ,
  • 57', Gimenez E. , Gomez J. ,
  • 57', Vallejos J. , Vigo A. ,
  • 72', Castillo R. , Canelo A. ,
  • 74', Cardozo A. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 80', Cardozo A. , Medina A. ,
  • 80', Watson F. N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 81', Godoy J. , Diaz G. ,
  • 84', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 90', Salvio E. , Acosta L. ,
  • 90', Carrera R. , Aquino D. ,
  • 90+4', Gomez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
27.1%
Draw
34.2%
Lanús
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 29.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.47)
    2.8
    (3.18)
    2.46
    (2.96)
    5.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 28.1%78.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Lanús is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Izquierdoz C. (Red Card) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 2:0
    30.08.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús 0:0
    14.02.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús 0:1
    18.09.2023 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    22.04.2023 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Latest results of Lanús
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1692522:121029
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1684420:16428
    5Belgrano ✔ 1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1635815:20-514
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)