El Gouna vs Ceramica Cleopatra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Referee: Elsayed M. (Egy)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.13
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
57% (115/203)82% (416/509)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.881.80
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1125
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
57% (115/203)82% (416/509)
Long passes
27% (18/66)55% (31/56)
Passes in final third
35% (23/65)69% (97/140)
Crosses
31% (4/13)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.63
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
1112
Tackles
76% (13/17)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4230
Clearances
2620
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.800.88
Goals prevented
0.80-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Mohsen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Mohsen M. (Pen),
  • 62', Adel M. , Sadek M. ,
  • 62', Karim Nedved , Belhadji A. ,
  • 69', El Sayed N. 🟨,
  • 69', Issa I. 🟨,
  • 69', El Solia A. (Pen),
  • 76', 1 - 1, Nabil R. , Lakay F. (A),
  • 77', Mohsen M. , Hassouna M. ,
  • 77', El Zahdi A. , El Nahas M. ,
  • 82', Awujoola S. , Otaka M. ,
  • 82', El Debes K. , El Gazar O. ,
  • 84', Randrianantenaina A. , Emad M. ,
  • 86', Hassouna M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', El Sayed N. , Karim A. ,
  • 90+1', Khaled A. , Jatta A. ,

Chances of winning


El Gouna
25.9%
Draw
32.3%
Ceramica Cleopatra
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 31.4% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 31.5% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Ceramica Cleopatra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceramica Cleopatra than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.61
    (3.91)
    2.89
    (3)
    2.23
    (2.12)
    7.2%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceramica Cleopatra will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 1.
    • Recent performances by El Gouna have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ceramica Cleopatra is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ceramica Cleopatra could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra - El Gouna 3:1
    22.02.2025 El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra 2:0
    07.07.2024 El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra 0:0
    20.02.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra - El Gouna 1:1
    Latest results of El Gouna
    23.09.2025 Zamalek - El Gouna 1:1
    17.09.2025 El Gouna - Petrojet 1:1
    13.09.2025 Haras El-Hodood - El Gouna 2:1
    30.08.2025 El Gouna - ZED 1:1
    24.08.2025 ENPPI - El Gouna 0:0
    Latest results of Ceramica Cleopatra
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zamalek ✔ 18124231:121940
    2Pyramids ✔ 18114329:141537
    3Al Ahly ✔ 18107129:161337
    4Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ 19114427:141337
    5Al Masry1878327:19829
    6Smouha1977518:13528
    7Wadi Degla1977523:20328
    8ZED1968519:16326
    9National Bank Egypt18510316:11525
    10Petrojet19510420:21-125
    11Enppi1859417:15224
    12El Gouna1859415:15024
    13Modern Sport1858518:19-123
    14Al Ittihad ✔ 19621115:23-820
    15Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ 19212512:15-318
    16Arab Contractors ✔ 1939712:18-618
    17Haras El Hodood ✔ 19451014:26-1217
    18El Gaish ✔ 1837810:22-1216
    19Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ 19441121:35-1416
    20Pharco ✔ 192898:22-1414
    21El Ismaily ✔ 19321411:26-1511

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )