Result
3:4
07/02/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 24
- Referee: Put B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 2.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (457/526) | 65% (124/192) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 2.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.00 | 3.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 55 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (457/526) | 65% (124/192) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (36/53) | 33% (19/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (149/185) | 49% (26/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.23 | 4.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 11', 0 - 1, Magnee G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 17', 1 - 1, Scheidler A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 28', 1 - 2, Nazinho ⚽, van der Bruggen H. (A),
- 34', 1 - 3, Diakite O. ⚽,
- 45+2', Diakite O. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Diop E. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
- 46', Colassin A. ↓, Guiagon P. ↑,
- 46', Khalifi Y. ↓, Titraoui Y. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 3, Guiagon P. ⚽, Camara E. (A),
- 61', Agyekum L. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
- 61', Adewumi O. ↓, Ngoura S. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 4, Magnee G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Keita C. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 74', Camara E. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 77', Diakite I. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 4, Van Den Kerkhof K. ⚽,
- 84', Guiagon P. 🟨,
- 86', van der Bruggen H. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
- 90+1', Blum L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Nazinho 🟨,
- 90+3', De Wilde N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ousou A. 🟨,
- 90+10', Gaudin J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Charleroi
46.6% | Draw
27.8% | Cercle Brugge
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Charleroi - Cercle Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.13) |
3.39 ↑
(3.38) |
3.72 ↑
(3.43) |
5.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Cercle Brugge?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Charleroi (1.57) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charleroi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Cercle Brugge (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1.
- Charleroi has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Cercle Brugge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cercle Brugge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Charleroi could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Bernier A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Charleroi: Defourny T.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Cercle Brugge?
Charleroi has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Charleroi?
Cercle Brugge has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Cercle Brugge were as follows:
14.09.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Charleroi
2:3
25.01.2025
Charleroi
-
Cercle Brugge
1:1
03.11.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Charleroi
2:0
09.03.2024
Charleroi
-
Cercle Brugge
0:0
05.08.2023
Cercle Brugge
-
Charleroi
2:0
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
