Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 27
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
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| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
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| 68% (219/320) | 72% (261/364) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.75 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.14 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 17 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 40 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 68% (219/320) | 72% (261/364) |
| Long passes |
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| 38% (23/60) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 57% (69/121) | 74% (60/81) |
| Crosses |
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| 23% (8/35) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.74 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
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| 24 | 33 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 61% (17/28) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
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| 68 | 65 |
| Clearances |
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| 16 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
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| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 6 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Ferraro F. 🟨,
- 25', Toshevski D. 🟨,
- 29', Diakite O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Diaby I. ↓, Herrmann C. ↑,
- 63', Diakite O. ↓, Adewumi O. ↑,
- 66', Herrmann C. ↓, Ngoura S. ↑,
- 69', Kvet R. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 78', Sambu M. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
- 79', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
- 87', Toshevski D. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
- 88', van der Bruggen H. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
- 88', Vanzeir D. ↓, Jurado H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cercle Brugge
51.6% | Draw
26.1% | Dender EH
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cercle Brugge's form might have worsened.Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cercle Brugge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Cercle Brugge - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.64) |
3.66 ↓
(4.04) |
4.26 ↓
(5) |
5.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cercle Brugge - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Dender EH will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cercle Brugge: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Dender EH (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Dender EH (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Dender EH (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Dender EH (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In recent matches, Cercle Brugge has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dender EH is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Dender EH may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cercle Brugge is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Dender EH?
Cercle Brugge has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Cercle Brugge?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cercle Brugge - Dender EH were as follows:
26.07.2025
Dender EH
-
Cercle Brugge
0:0
18.01.2025
Dender EH
-
Cercle Brugge
0:1
19.10.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Dender EH
0:0
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
