Result
3:3
19/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (299/378) | 85% (446/524) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 2.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (299/378) | 85% (446/524) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 50% (33/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (100/145) | 78% (145/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.69 | 2.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Rafael Ratao (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Suzuki A. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Hiraoka T. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 2 - 2, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
- 52', Nishio R. 🟨,
- 67', Okuno K. ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,
- 71', Cools D. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 3, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Kagawa S. (A),
- 74', Hiraoka T. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
- 75', Suzuki A. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
- 75', Onose K. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
- 79', Ota S. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
- 82', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 82', Rafael Ratao ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 3, Luiz Phellype (Pen),
- 90', Kagawa S. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare
25.9% | Draw
25.7% | Cerezo Osaka
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shonan Bellmare's form might have worsened.Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerezo Osaka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shonan Bellmare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.6 ↑
(2.77) |
3.66 ↑
(3.51) |
1.98 ↓
(2.28) |
5.5%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
Cerezo Osaka will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 3.
- Shonan Bellmare has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cerezo Osaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Cerezo Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Matsumoto K.
(Inactive)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Cerezo Osaka?
Shonan Bellmare has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Shonan Bellmare?
Cerezo Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
22.02.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:2
22.09.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:2
30.03.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:0
30.09.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Shonan Bellmare
0:2
02.08.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:2
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
