Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

J1 League - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.26	1.83
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
14	22
Shots on target
6	7
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
79% (299/378)	85% (446/524)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26	1.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.99	2.69
Total shots
14	22
Shots on target
6	7
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
4	8
Shots inside the Box
8	14
Shots outside the Box
6	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
25	39
Accurate through passes
0	3
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
79% (299/378)	85% (446/524)
Long passes
50% (26/52)	50% (33/66)
Passes in final third
69% (100/145)	78% (145/187)
Crosses
14% (2/14)	26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	1.81
Throw-ins
21	24
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
64% (9/14)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
44	47
Clearances
38	18
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.69	2.99
Goals prevented
-0.31	-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Rafael Ratao (A),
14', 1 - 1, Suzuki A. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Hiraoka T. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 2, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
52', Nishio R. 🟨,
67', Okuno K. ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,
71', Cools D. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
73', 2 - 3, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Kagawa S. (A),
74', Hiraoka T. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
75', Suzuki A. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
75', Onose K. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
79', Ota S. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
82', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
82', Rafael Ratao ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
89', 3 - 3, Luiz Phellype (Pen),
90', Kagawa S. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
25.9%

Draw
25.7%

Cerezo Osaka
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

26.3%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

25.1%

42.3%

Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.77)	3.66 ↑ (3.51)	1.98 ↓ (2.28)	5.5% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka?

Users Predictions: Cerezo Osaka will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 3.
Shonan Bellmare has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cerezo Osaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
Cerezo Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Matsumoto K. (Inactive) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Takahashi N. (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Takahashi N. (Foot Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Cerezo Osaka?

Shonan Bellmare has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Shonan Bellmare?

Cerezo Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:

22.02.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 1:2

22.09.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka 1:2

30.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 2:0

30.09.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 0:2

02.08.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 1:2

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

16.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare 4:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

11.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Gifu 2:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Shonan Bellmare 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

16.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokushima Vortis 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:2 ✺

11.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Arterivo Wakayama 5:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

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      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League