Vissel Kobe vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.84
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
74% (261/352)75% (305/407)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.310.01
Total shots
157
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
218
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
74% (261/352)75% (305/407)
Long passes
42% (25/59)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
71% (92/130)55% (53/97)
Crosses
21% (6/28)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.62
Throw-ins
3826
Fouls
1213
Tackles
61% (11/18)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5856
Clearances
2136
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.012.31
Goals prevented
0.01-1.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Ogihara T. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Hiraoka T. , Oda Y. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Miyashiro T. , Sasaki D. (A),
  • 56', Oiwa K. , Ishii H. ,
  • 56', Ono K. , Okuno H. ,
  • 68', Hirose R. , Yuruki K. ,
  • 71', Oda Y. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 0, Sasaki D. , Miyashiro T. (A),
  • 81', Barada A. , Ze Ricardo ,
  • 81', Ogihara T. , Nagato K. ,
  • 81', Sasaki D. , Yamauchi K. ,
  • 83', Fukuda S. , Nitta R. ,
  • 88', Yamakawa T. , Iwanami T. ,
  • 88', Erik , Gustavo Klismahn ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, Yuruki K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vissel Kobe
60.9%
Draw
23.3%
Shonan Bellmare
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 20.3% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4% 19.1% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vissel Kobe's form might have worsened.
  • Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.38)
    4.02
    (4.57)
    5.95
    (7.35)
    6.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 56%91.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Vissel Kobe (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 4.
    • Vissel Kobe has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Vissel Kobe is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K. (Inactive) Muto Y. (Back Injury) Tominaga N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishibashi S. (Inactive) Matsumoto K. (Inactive) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Jean Patric (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Suzuki J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Vissel Kobe will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe 1:2
    08.12.2024 Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare 3:0
    20.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe 0:1
    28.10.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe 1:1
    12.10.2022 Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare 1:0
    Latest results of Vissel Kobe
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers131002121:932
    2FC Tokyo13732127:1329
    3Machida12541220:1824
    4Verdy12530419:1621
    5Kawasaki Frontale13521520:2320
    6Mito13234419:2716
    7Urawa Reds13403618:1915
    8Yokohama F. Marinos13500820:2415
    9Kashiwa Reysol13310916:2011
    10Chiba13203813:249


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe12713123:1326
    2Nagoya Grampus13523323:1922
    3Gamba Osaka14353323:2122
    4Sanfrecce Hiroshima13521521:1820
    5Kyoto12431419:1619
    6Cerezo Osaka13431515:1319
    7Shimizu S-Pulse13324416:1817
    8Okayama13324417:2417
    9Avispa Fukuoka14332617:2517
    10V-Varen Nagasaki13501713:2016

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)