Cerro Largo vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
1:3
27/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
15
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
46
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Correa L. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Remedi E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Vazquez L. , Garcia M. ,
  • 46', Arezo M. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 46', Jesus Trindade , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 49', Santilli G. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Silvera M. ,
  • 64', Gonzalez C. , Anasco M. ,
  • 64', Rossi F. , Gabriel Rossetto ,
  • 66', Correa L. 🟨,
  • 70', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
  • 73', Sosa I. 🟨,
  • 75', Brasil M. , Gallard J. ,
  • 75', Perez A. , Olivera E. ,
  • 78', Sosa I. , Gularte E. ,
  • 83', Olivera M. , Baez J. ,
  • 90+2', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 3, Baez J. ,

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
15.6%
Draw
24.3%
Peñarol de Montevideo
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.5% 26.2% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 25% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.18
    (5.08)
    3.77
    (3.59)
    1.56
    (1.7)
    6.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Peñarol de Montevideo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.
    • Cerro Largo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peñarol is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:1
    30.03.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo 0:2
    17.08.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo 0:0
    18.02.2024 Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:2
    14.11.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1392226:111529
    2Liverpool M1374219:13625
    3Nacional1283124:101424
    4Montevideo City1373323:15824
    5CA Cerro1371513:13022
    6Defensor Sp1371511:13-222
    7Boston River1256120:81221
    8Cerro Largo1354415:14119
    9Progreso1352616:17-117
    10Danubio1343614:12215
    11Racing Montevideo1335511:20-914
    12Miramar1233616:19-312
    13Juventud133376:12-612
    14River Plate132477:17-1010
    15Plaza Colonia132299:22-138
    16Wanderers121295:19-145

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )