Result
1:1
01/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Bonifazi F. ⚽,
- 40', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Anasco M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Villalba H. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 59', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Cabrera J. ↑,
- 59', Bertocchi N. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
- 69', 🟨,
- 69', Assis S. 🟨,
- 74', Garcia A. ↓, Piriz M. ↑,
- 74', Affonso M. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
- 78', Sosa I. ↓, Remedi E. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez J. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 79', Silvera M. ↓, Machado A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
22.6% | Draw
28.2% | Peñarol de Montevideo
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1%)
Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.15 ↑
(3.91) |
3.3 ↓
(3.31) |
1.88 ↓
(1.92) |
7.5%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Peñarol (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.
- Recent form of Cerro Largo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Peñarol is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Cerro Largo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Cerro Largo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
30.03.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
0:2
17.08.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
18.02.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
14.11.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
1:1
09.04.2023
Cerro Largo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:0
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Boston River | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Liverpool M | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Juventud | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | CA Cerro | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Danubio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Miramar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | River Plate | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
