Result
1:3
27/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
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 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Correa L. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Remedi E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Vazquez L. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 46', Arezo M. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 46', Jesus Trindade ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
- 49', Santilli G. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, Silvera M. ⚽,
- 64', Gonzalez C. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 64', Rossi F. ↓, Gabriel Rossetto ↑,
- 66', Correa L. 🟨,
- 70', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
- 73', Sosa I. 🟨,
- 75', Brasil M. ↓, Gallard J. ↑,
- 75', Perez A. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
- 78', Sosa I. ↓, Gularte E. ↑,
- 83', Olivera M. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
- 90+2', Gularte E. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Baez J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
15.6% | Draw
24.3% | Peñarol de Montevideo
60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.18 ↑
(5.08) |
3.77 ↑
(3.59) |
1.56 ↓
(1.7) |
6.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- H/A, 1st Half - Peñarol (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Peñarol (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Peñarol (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.
- Cerro Largo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peñarol is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Cerro Largo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Cerro Largo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
01.06.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:1
30.03.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
0:2
17.08.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
18.02.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
14.11.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
1:1
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Central Esp | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Danubio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Boston River | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Juventud | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
