Cerro vs Racing Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro - Racing Montevideo
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
311
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
39
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
01
Total shots
311
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
16
Corner Kicks
39
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Paiva S. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Cotugno G. ,
  • 35', Vazquez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Alvarez F. ,
  • 58', Alvarez F. 🟥,
  • 61', Bueno G. 🟨,
  • 61', Frugone A. , Falconis O. ,
  • 61', Miranda A. , Nichele M. ,
  • 72', Caceres S. , Ocampo M. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 83', Cuello E. , Da Rosa C. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Silveira H. , Manzur I. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cerro
24%
Draw
31.1%
Racing Montevideo
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 29.2% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 28.3% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Cerro - Racing Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.96
    (3.78)
    2.97
    (3.21)
    2.08
    (2.03)
    7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cerro - Racing Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 2.
    • In recent matches, Cerro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cerro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cerro has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
    • Racing could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 0:1
    20.10.2024 Cerro - Racing Montevideo 1:1
    19.04.2024 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 1:1
    07.12.2023 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 0:1
    25.06.2023 Cerro - Racing Montevideo 1:2
    Latest results of Cerro
    22.06.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 2:1
    19.06.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 2:1
    13.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 2:2
    Latest results of Racing Montevideo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Danubio941414:9513
    9CA Cerro94148:10-213
    10Miramar1032513:14-111
    11Progreso932410:11-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

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