Cerro vs Racing Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro - Racing Montevideo
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
311
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
39
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
01
Total shots
311
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
16
Corner Kicks
39
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Paiva S. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Cotugno G. ,
  • 35', Vazquez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Alvarez F. ,
  • 58', Alvarez F. 🟥,
  • 61', Bueno G. 🟨,
  • 61', Frugone A. , Falconis O. ,
  • 61', Miranda A. , Nichele M. ,
  • 72', Caceres S. , Ocampo M. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 83', Cuello E. , Da Rosa C. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Silveira H. , Manzur I. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cerro
24%
Draw
31.1%
Racing Montevideo
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 29.2% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 28.3% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Cerro - Racing Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.96
    (3.78)
    2.97
    (3.21)
    2.08
    (2.03)
    7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cerro - Racing Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 2.
    • In recent matches, Cerro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cerro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cerro has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
    • Racing could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 0:1
    20.10.2024 Cerro - Racing Montevideo 1:1
    19.04.2024 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 1:1
    07.12.2023 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 0:1
    25.06.2023 Cerro - Racing Montevideo 1:2
    Latest results of Cerro
    22.06.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 2:1
    19.06.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 2:1
    13.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 2:2
    Latest results of Racing Montevideo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo33005:149
    2Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    3Boston River42207:258
    4Liverpool M32103:127
    5Penarol32016:336
    6Racing Montevideo32013:216
    7Juventud42024:5-16
    8Nacional42118:624
    9CA Cerro31113:214
    10Danubio31112:204
    11Montevideo City31115:6-14
    12Miramar31024:403
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16Progreso30033:7-40

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