Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 1 - 0, Paiva S. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Cotugno G. ⚽,
- 35', Vazquez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 2, Alvarez F. ⚽,
- 58', Alvarez F. 🟥,
- 61', Bueno G. 🟨,
- 61', Frugone A. ↓, Falconis O. ↑,
- 61', Miranda A. ↓, Nichele M. ↑,
- 72', Caceres S. ↓, Ocampo M. ↑,
- 77', 🟨,
- 81', 🟨,
- 83', Cuello E. ↓, Da Rosa C. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 90+1', Silveira H. ↓, Manzur I. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro
24% | Draw
31.1% | Racing Montevideo
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Cerro - Racing Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.96 ↑
(3.78) |
2.97 ↓
(3.21) |
2.08 ↑
(2.03) |
7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro - Racing Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 2.
- In recent matches, Cerro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cerro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cerro has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
- Racing could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Racing Montevideo?
Cerro has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Cerro?
Racing Montevideo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
08.02.2025
Racing Montevideo
-
Cerro
0:1
20.10.2024
Cerro
-
Racing Montevideo
1:1
19.04.2024
Racing Montevideo
-
Cerro
1:1
07.12.2023
Racing Montevideo
-
Cerro
0:1
25.06.2023
Cerro
-
Racing Montevideo
1:2
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Liverpool M | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Progreso | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | River Plate | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
