Racing Montevideo vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Racing Montevideo
49.9%
Draw
29.1%
Cerro
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 28.8% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 28.1% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Racing Montevideo - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.97)
    3.16
    (3.24)
    4.42
    (3.92)
    8.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
    • Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cerro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Racing is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Cerro were as follows:
    14.01.2026 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 2:1
    10.08.2025 Cerro - Racing Montevideo 1:2
    08.02.2025 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 0:1
    20.10.2024 Cerro - Racing Montevideo 1:1
    19.04.2024 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro
    27.02.2026 Cerro - Boston River 1:1
    16.02.2026 Albion Montevideo - Cerro 3:0
    09.02.2026 Cerro - Danubio 0:1
    14.01.2026 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maldonado43019:549
    2Central Esp43016:249
    3Penarol43017:439
    4Racing Montevideo421110:647
    5Montevideo City42118:537
    6Liverpool M42116:427
    7Nacional42114:317
    8Defensor Sp42114:317
    9Danubio42115:6-17
    10Wanderers42114:6-27
    11Albion41125:504
    12Cerro Largo41032:5-33
    13Boston River40222:5-32
    14CA Cerro40222:6-42
    15Juventud40133:6-31
    16Progreso40132:8-61

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