Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Cianni J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Mederos R. 🟨,
- 31', Barros C. 🟨,
- 39', Paiva S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nongoy P. ↓, Amaro J. ↑,
- 46', Mederos R. ↓, Rijo T. ↑,
- 46', Atum A. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
- 52', Bosca J. 🟨,
- 55', Bosca J. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
- 55', De Los Santos E. ↓, Alvarez Wallace A. ↑,
- 64', Amaro J. 🟨,
- 66', Parada F. 🟨,
- 70', Paiva S. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 73', Da Silva E. ↓, Dudok R. ↑,
- 74', Suarez D. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
- 80', Vazquez A. 🟨,
- 81', Cairus F. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Tomatis B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo
49.3% | Draw
29.4% | Cerro
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+2%)
Racing Montevideo - Cerro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.97) |
3.09 ↓
(3.24) |
4.31 ↑
(3.92) |
9.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Cerro?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Racing Montevideo will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
- Recent performances by Racing have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cerro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Racing is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Cerro?
Racing Montevideo has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Racing Montevideo?
Cerro has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Cerro were as follows:
14.01.2026
Racing Montevideo
-
Cerro
2:1
10.08.2025
Cerro
-
Racing Montevideo
1:2
08.02.2025
Racing Montevideo
-
Cerro
0:1
20.10.2024
Cerro
-
Racing Montevideo
1:1
19.04.2024
Racing Montevideo
-
Cerro
1:1
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Juventud | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
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