Castellón vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Castellón - Ceuta
Result
3:3
14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.75
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
81% (322/396)72% (189/262)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.091.16
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3815
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
81% (322/396)72% (189/262)
Long passes
58% (28/48)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
74% (120/163)56% (35/63)
Crosses
28% (10/36)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.65
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1112
Tackles
65% (13/20)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5746
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.163.09
Goals prevented
-1.840.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ,
  • 14', Brignani F. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Sienra A. , Cipenga B. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. , Barri (A),
  • 35', Caparros A. 🟨,
  • 39', Santiago P. 🟨,
  • 45', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Matos Jose , Ahmed A. (A),
  • 52', Ahmed A. , Anuar ,
  • 59', 2 - 3, Fernandez Sanchez M. , Jamelli (A),
  • 60', Mabil A. , Suero I. ,
  • 60', Barri , Serpeta ,
  • 60', Brignani F. , Doue M. ,
  • 69', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 71', Santiago P. , Markanich N. ,
  • 76', Kone K. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 76', Jamelli , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 83', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 83', Ruiz S. , Tincho ,
  • 84', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Almenara G. ,
  • 84', Zalazar K. , Obeng S. ,
  • 90+3', Obeng S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Suero I. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Doue M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2fp9x3mx

Chances of winning


Castellón
49.8%
Draw
27.8%
Ceuta
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 24.4% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.5% 18.3%

Castellón - Ceuta Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.27
(1.65)
3.78
(3.85)
4.57
(4.94)
-7.6%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castellón - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: Castellón will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Castellón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Matthys R. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Ortuno J. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Ceuta were as follows:
    11.02.2024 Castellón - Ceuta 2:2
    15.10.2023 Ceuta - Castellón 1:3
    Latest results of Castellón
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Las Palmas1475216:8826
    2Racing Santander1381429:21825
    3Dep. La Coruna1365224:121223
    4Burgos CF1364319:12722
    5Almeria1264223:18522
    6Cadiz CF1356211:9221
    7Valladolid1455415:12320
    8Cordoba1355318:16220
    9Gijon1361618:19-119
    10Ceuta1253411:14-318
    11Andorra1345416:19-317
    12Castellon1344515:15016
    13Eibar1344515:15016
    14Albacete1344520:23-316
    15Leganes1336412:11115
    16Real Sociedad B1343618:19-115
    17Malaga1343616:17-115
    18Huesca1343612:18-615
    19Granada CF1335515:18-314
    20Cultural Leonesa1342715:19-414
    21Mirandes1333714:21-712
    22Zaragoza131397:23-166

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