Castellón vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Castellón - Ceuta
Result
3:3
14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.75
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
81% (322/396)72% (189/262)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.091.16
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3815
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
81% (322/396)72% (189/262)
Long passes
58% (28/48)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
74% (120/163)56% (35/63)
Crosses
28% (10/36)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.65
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1112
Tackles
65% (13/20)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5746
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.163.09
Goals prevented
-1.840.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ,
  • 14', Brignani F. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Sienra A. , Cipenga B. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. , Barri (A),
  • 35', Caparros A. 🟨,
  • 39', Santiago P. 🟨,
  • 45', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Matos Jose , Ahmed A. (A),
  • 52', Ahmed A. , Anuar ,
  • 59', 2 - 3, Fernandez Sanchez M. , Jamelli (A),
  • 60', Mabil A. , Suero I. ,
  • 60', Barri , Serpeta ,
  • 60', Brignani F. , Doue M. ,
  • 69', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 71', Santiago P. , Markanich N. ,
  • 76', Kone K. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 76', Jamelli , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 83', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 83', Ruiz S. , Tincho ,
  • 84', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Almenara G. ,
  • 84', Zalazar K. , Obeng S. ,
  • 90+3', Obeng S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Suero I. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Doue M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2fp9x3mx

Chances of winning


Castellón
49.8%
Draw
27.8%
Ceuta
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 24.4% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.5% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellón's form might have worsened.
  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Castellón - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.65)
    3.78
    (3.85)
    4.57
    (4.94)
    -7.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Castellón - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: Castellón will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Castellón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Matthys R. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Ortuno J. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Ceuta were as follows:
    11.02.2024 Castellón - Ceuta 2:2
    15.10.2023 Ceuta - Castellón 1:3
    Latest results of Castellón
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander1171327:18922
    2Las Palmas1154212:7519
    3Cadiz CF1154211:9219
    4Burgos CF1153317:11618
    5Ceuta1153311:12-118
    6Dep. La Coruna1044218:11716
    7Almeria1044219:17216
    8Cordoba1144314:14016
    9Valladolid1043312:9315
    10Leganes1136210:7315
    11Andorra1043313:13015
    12Gijon1050516:17-115
    13Huesca104249:12-314
    14Eibar1134411:10113
    15Albacete1134416:19-313
    16Castellon1033413:13012
    17Cultural Leonesa1132612:14-211
    18Malaga103259:12-311
    19Granada CF1125411:15-411
    20Real Sociedad B1023514:17-39
    21Mirandes1123610:17-79
    22Zaragoza101366:17-116

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