Castellón vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana).

LaLiga2 - Round 5
Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.75
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
7	5
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
10	6
Passes
81% (322/396)	72% (189/262)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.09	1.16
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
10	6
Touches in opposition box
38	15
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
81% (322/396)	72% (189/262)
Long passes
58% (28/48)	34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
74% (120/163)	56% (35/63)
Crosses
28% (10/36)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.09	0.65
Throw-ins
17	17
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
65% (13/20)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
57	46
Clearances
17	45
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.16	3.09
Goals prevented
-1.84	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽,
14', Brignani F. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Sienra A. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
32', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. ⚽, Barri (A),
35', Caparros A. 🟨,
39', Santiago P. 🟨,
45', Cantero Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 2, Matos Jose ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
52', Ahmed A. ↓, Anuar ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Jamelli (A),
60', Mabil A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
60', Barri ↓, Serpeta ↑,
60', Brignani F. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
69', Cantero Y. 🟨,
71', Santiago P. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
76', Kone K. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
76', Jamelli ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
83', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
83', Ruiz S. ↓, Tincho ↑,
84', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
84', Zalazar K. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
90+3', Obeng S. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 3, Suero I. (Pen),
90+8', Doue M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2fp9x3mx

Chances of winning

Castellón
49.8%

Draw
27.8%

Ceuta
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.5%

18.3%

Castellón - Ceuta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.65)	3.78 ↓ (3.85)	4.57 ↓ (4.94)	-7.6% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Castellón - Ceuta?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Castellón (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Castellón (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Castellón will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Castellón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Matthys R. (Hip Injury)
There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Ortuno J. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Ceuta?

Castellón has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Castellón?

Ceuta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Ceuta were as follows:

11.02.2024 Castellón - Ceuta 2:2

15.10.2023 Ceuta - Castellón 1:3

Latest results of Castellón

05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 3:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Albacete Balompié - Castellón 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Ceuta

07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0 ✺

05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	25	14	5	6	51:33	18	47
2	Castellon	25	13	6	6	42:25	17	45
3	Dep. La Coruna	25	12	7	6	40:27	13	43
4	Almeria	25	12	6	7	47:36	11	42
5	Malaga	25	12	5	8	38:29	9	41
6	Las Palmas	25	10	10	5	29:20	9	40
7	Burgos CF	25	11	6	8	28:24	4	39
8	Gijon	25	12	3	10	35:33	2	39
9	Cordoba	24	10	8	6	32:27	5	38
10	Ceuta	24	10	5	9	30:34	-4	35
11	Cadiz CF	25	9	7	9	27:29	-2	34
12	Albacete	25	9	6	10	31:36	-5	33
13	Leganes	25	8	8	9	27:25	2	32
14	Eibar	25	8	8	9	26:27	-1	32
15	Granada CF	25	6	11	8	26:29	-3	29
16	Andorra	25	7	8	10	27:35	-8	29
17	Real Sociedad B	25	7	7	11	32:35	-3	28
18	Valladolid	25	7	7	11	25:31	-6	28
19	Huesca	25	7	6	12	23:34	-11	27
20	Cultural Leonesa	25	7	4	14	26:40	-14	25
21	Zaragoza	25	5	8	12	22:38	-16	23
22	Mirandes	25	5	5	15	25:42	-17	20

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