Castellón vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Castellón - Ceuta
14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Chances of winning


Castellón
56.2%
Draw
24.1%
Ceuta
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 24.4% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.5% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Castellón - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.65)
    3.9
    (3.85)
    4.78
    (4.94)
    6.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Castellón - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: Castellón will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Castellón has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceuta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Matthys R. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Ortuno J. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Ceuta were as follows:
    11.02.2024 Castellón - Ceuta 2:2
    15.10.2023 Ceuta - Castellón 1:3
    Latest results of Castellón
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander440013:6712
    2Dep. La Coruna532011:4711
    3Valladolid53208:2611
    4Cadiz CF53208:5311
    5Huesca53116:4210
    6Gijon43014:229
    7Las Palmas52216:428
    8Malaga52215:418
    9Eibar52127:437
    10Andorra42116:517
    11Mirandes52037:9-26
    12Burgos CF41216:335
    13Real Sociedad B51227:8-15
    14Almeria512210:12-25
    15Leganes40404:404
    16Cordoba41124:6-24
    17Ceuta41033:9-63
    18Zaragoza40223:6-32
    19Castellon40133:7-41
    20Albacete40138:13-51
    21Granada CF40134:10-61
    22Cultural Leonesa40131:7-61

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation