Castellón vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.75
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
81% (322/396)72% (189/262)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.091.16
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3815
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
81% (322/396)72% (189/262)
Long passes
58% (28/48)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
74% (120/163)56% (35/63)
Crosses
28% (10/36)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.65
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1112
Tackles
65% (13/20)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5746
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.163.09
Goals prevented
-1.840.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ,
  • 14', Brignani F. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Sienra A. , Cipenga B. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. , Barri (A),
  • 35', Caparros A. 🟨,
  • 39', Santiago P. 🟨,
  • 45', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Matos Jose , Ahmed A. (A),
  • 52', Ahmed A. , Anuar ,
  • 59', 2 - 3, Fernandez Sanchez M. , Jamelli (A),
  • 60', Mabil A. , Suero I. ,
  • 60', Barri , Serpeta ,
  • 60', Brignani F. , Doue M. ,
  • 69', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 71', Santiago P. , Markanich N. ,
  • 76', Kone K. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 76', Jamelli , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 83', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 83', Ruiz S. , Tincho ,
  • 84', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Almenara G. ,
  • 84', Zalazar K. , Obeng S. ,
  • 90+3', Obeng S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Suero I. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Doue M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2fp9x3mx

Chances of winning


Castellón
49.8%
Draw
27.8%
Ceuta
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 24.4% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.5% 18.3%

Castellón - Ceuta Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.27
(1.65)
3.78
(3.85)
4.57
(4.94)
-7.6%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castellón - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: Castellón will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Castellón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Matthys R. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Ortuno J. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Ceuta were as follows:
    11.02.2024 Castellón - Ceuta 2:2
    15.10.2023 Ceuta - Castellón 1:3
    Latest results of Castellón
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander19114442:271537
    2Las Palmas1997323:111234
    3Dep. La Coruna1995532:211132
    4Almeria1995535:26932
    5Castellon1994630:24631
    6Cadiz CF1986520:19130
    7Gijon1993723:23030
    8Burgos CF1985624:18629
    9Ceuta1985622:23-129
    10Malaga1975726:24226
    11Cordoba1968523:23026
    12Valladolid1966720:19124
    13Andorra1966721:26-524
    14Albacete1965825:31-623
    15Huesca1965818:24-623
    16Cultural Leonesa19721020:28-823
    17Real Sociedad B19631027:29-221
    18Eibar1956821:24-321
    19Granada CF1949621:24-321
    20Leganes1948717:20-320
    21Zaragoza19451016:30-1417
    22Mirandes19441119:31-1216

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