Result
3:2
25/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (211/300) | 84% (370/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (211/300) | 84% (370/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 53% (21/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (45/83) | 75% (120/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 6', 1 - 0, Zalazar K. ⚽, Redruello Nimo C. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Fuentes A. (A),
- 12', 2 - 1, Caparros A. ⚽, Illescas M. (A),
- 23', Youness 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 2, Carracedo C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 27', 3 - 2, Jamelli ⚽, Kone K. (A),
- 31', Requena D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Jamelli 🟨,
- 65', Bri D. ↓, Percan ↑,
- 65', Requena D. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
- 68', Illescas M. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 68', Youness ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
- 71', Goti Lopez M. 🟨,
- 74', Goti Lopez M. ↓, de Almeida D. ↑,
- 77', Fuentes A. ↓, Adilson ↑,
- 79', Kone K. 🟨,
- 81', Kone K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
- 84', Jamelli ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
- 85', Redruello Nimo C. ↓, Cantero Y. ↑,
- 90', Lopez P. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4fj8dwmv
Chances of winning
Ceuta
33.6% | Draw
29.2% | Córdoba
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Ceuta - Córdoba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.66) |
3.21 ↓
(3.26) |
2.52 ↓
(2.66) |
6.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Córdoba?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Córdoba will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Córdoba (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Córdoba (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Córdoba (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Ceuta (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 10%). Córdoba (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0.
- Recent performances by Ceuta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Córdoba is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Jamelli
(Injury)
Matos Jose
(Yellow Cards)
Sanchez M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Córdoba: Albarran C.
(Yellow Cards)
Alcedo J.
(Injury)
Alves R.
(Injury)
Fomeyem F.
(Ankle Injury)
Medina K.
(Injury)
Zidane T.
(Muscle Injury)
del Moral A.
(Ribs Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Córdoba?
Ceuta has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Córdoba won against Ceuta?
Córdoba has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Córdoba were as follows:
02.11.2025
Córdoba
-
Ceuta
2:0
18.02.2024
Ceuta
-
Córdoba
1:1
12.11.2023
Córdoba
-
Ceuta
3:3
12.03.2023
Córdoba
-
Ceuta
1:1
06.11.2022
Ceuta
-
Córdoba
1:2
Latest results of Córdoba
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
