Ceuta vs Deportivo La Coruña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.191.22
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
55
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
34
Passes
82% (335/409)85% (338/400)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.191.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.091.19
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
95
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free kicks
1111
Passes
82% (335/409)85% (338/400)
Long passes
46% (23/50)56% (32/57)
Passes in final third
62% (66/107)69% (52/75)
Crosses
25% (6/24)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.39
Throw ins
1513
Fouls
1111
Tackles
36% (5/14)61% (11/18)
Duels won
3745
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.192.09
Goals prevented
-0.811.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Nsongo B. , Stoichkov (A),
  • 32', Altimira A. 🟨,
  • 36', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 37', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 37', Quagliata G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sanchez M. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 46', Loureiro M. , Noubi L. ,
  • 65', Nsongo B. 🟨,
  • 73', Bodiger Y. , Youness ,
  • 77', Stoichkov , Herrera C. ,
  • 77', Nsongo B. , Mulattieri S. ,
  • 85', Navarro X. , Barcia D. ,
  • 85', Ahmed A. , Schor I. ,
  • 85', Illescas M. , Almenara G. ,
  • 87', Barcia D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Altimira A. , Cruz Luismi (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/kxx3mvkn

Chances of winning


Ceuta
32.6%
Draw
31.5%
Deportivo La Coruña
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 28.1% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 28.5% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Deportivo La Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.92)
    3.02
    (3.37)
    2.62
    (2.39)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Deportivo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Ceuta (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Deportivo (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportivo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Campana J. (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Rodriguez C. (Illness) Sanchez S. (Illness) Zalazar K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo: Hernandez Y. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta 2:1
    23.04.2023 Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta 1:0
    18.12.2022 Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2
    Latest results of Ceuta
    08.03.2026 Las Palmas - Ceuta 4:0
    01.03.2026 Mirandés - Ceuta 0:1
    25.02.2026 Ceuta - Córdoba 3:2
    20.02.2026 Ceuta - Granada 2:1
    15.02.2026 Huesca - Ceuta 2:0
    Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation