Ceuta vs Deportivo La Coruña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.191.22
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
55
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
34
Passes
82% (335/409)85% (338/400)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.191.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.091.19
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
95
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free kicks
1111
Passes
82% (335/409)85% (338/400)
Long passes
46% (23/50)56% (32/57)
Passes in final third
62% (66/107)69% (52/75)
Crosses
25% (6/24)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.39
Throw ins
1513
Fouls
1111
Tackles
36% (5/14)61% (11/18)
Duels won
3745
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.192.09
Goals prevented
-0.811.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Nsongo B. , Stoichkov (A),
  • 32', Altimira A. 🟨,
  • 36', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 37', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 37', Quagliata G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sanchez M. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 46', Loureiro M. , Noubi L. ,
  • 65', Nsongo B. 🟨,
  • 73', Bodiger Y. , Youness ,
  • 77', Stoichkov , Herrera C. ,
  • 77', Nsongo B. , Mulattieri S. ,
  • 85', Navarro X. , Barcia D. ,
  • 85', Ahmed A. , Schor I. ,
  • 85', Illescas M. , Almenara G. ,
  • 87', Barcia D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Altimira A. , Cruz Luismi (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/kxx3mvkn

Chances of winning


Ceuta
32.6%
Draw
31.5%
Deportivo La Coruña
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 28.1% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 28.5% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Deportivo La Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.92)
    3.02
    (3.37)
    2.62
    (2.39)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Deportivo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Ceuta (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Deportivo (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportivo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Campana J. (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Rodriguez C. (Illness) Sanchez S. (Illness) Zalazar K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo: Hernandez Y. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta 2:1
    23.04.2023 Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta 1:0
    18.12.2022 Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2
    Latest results of Ceuta
    08.03.2026 Las Palmas - Ceuta 4:0
    01.03.2026 Mirandés - Ceuta 0:1
    25.02.2026 Ceuta - Córdoba 3:2
    20.02.2026 Ceuta - Granada 2:1
    15.02.2026 Huesca - Ceuta 2:0
    Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Burgos CF31148936:261050
    7Castellon30147949:371249
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Mirandes31761830:50-2027
    22Cultural Leonesa30761728:49-2127

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation