Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 30
- Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (335/409) | 85% (338/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (335/409) | 85% (338/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 56% (32/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (66/107) | 69% (52/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Nsongo B. ⚽, Stoichkov (A),
- 32', Altimira A. 🟨,
- 36', Matos Jose 🟨,
- 37', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
- 37', Quagliata G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sanchez M. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
- 46', Loureiro M. ↓, Noubi L. ↑,
- 65', Nsongo B. 🟨,
- 73', Bodiger Y. ↓, Youness ↑,
- 77', Stoichkov ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
- 77', Nsongo B. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
- 85', Navarro X. ↓, Barcia D. ↑,
- 85', Ahmed A. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
- 85', Illescas M. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
- 87', Barcia D. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Altimira A. ⚽, Cruz Luismi (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/kxx3mvkn
Chances of winning
Ceuta 32.6% | Draw 31.5% | Deportivo La Coruña 35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Deportivo La Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↓ (2.92) |
3.02 ↓ (3.37) |
2.62 ↑ (2.39) |
5.9% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Deportivo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Ceuta (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Deportivo (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportivo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar
(Injury)
Campana J.
(Injury)
Domenech M.
(Injury)
Rodriguez C.
(Illness)
Sanchez S.
(Illness)
Zalazar K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Deportivo: Hernandez Y.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Deportivo La Coruña?
Ceuta has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Coruña won against Ceuta?
Deportivo La Coruña has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña were as follows:
23.11.2025
Deportivo La Coruña
-
Ceuta
2:1
23.04.2023
Deportivo La Coruña
-
Ceuta
1:0
18.12.2022
Ceuta
-
Deportivo La Coruña
1:2
Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Castellon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 28:49 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation