Deportivo La Coruña vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.46
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
83% (320/387)82% (337/413)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.201.48
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
83% (320/387)82% (337/413)
Long passes
37% (17/46)26% (9/34)
Passes in final third
69% (86/124)71% (70/99)
Crosses
30% (3/10)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.121.21
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
1310
Tackles
71% (10/14)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3537
Clearances
1715
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.482.20
Goals prevented
0.480.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Noubi L. 🟨,
  • 34', Noubi L. , Comas A. ,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Hernandez Y. , Cruz Luismi (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Mulattieri S. , Stoichkov ,
  • 60', Cruz Luismi , Mella D. ,
  • 62', Youness , Bassinga A. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Stoichkov , Barcia D. (A),
  • 77', 2 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. , Anuar (A),
  • 78', de la Fuente K. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 79', Bassinga A. , Ahmed A. ,
  • 79', Matos Jose , Redruello Nimo C. ,
  • 79', Jamelli , Zalazar K. ,
  • 81', Jurado J. , Herrera C. ,
  • 81', Soriano M. , Patino C. ,
  • 90', Herrera C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Comas A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y6aukvje

Chances of winning


Deportivo La Coruña
55.9%
Draw
24.2%
Ceuta
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 24.3% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.5% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo La Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.69)
    3.92
    (3.87)
    4.77
    (4.73)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo La Coruña will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo La Coruña will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Deportivo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ceuta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Deportivo is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury) Escudero S. (Injury) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury) Sanchez S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Deportivo: Soriano M. (Injury)
    • We predict that Deportivo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta were as follows:
    23.04.2023 Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta 1:0
    18.12.2022 Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2
    Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
    Latest results of Ceuta
    16.11.2025 Ceuta - Leganés 1:2
    02.11.2025 Córdoba - Ceuta 2:0
    29.10.2025 La Unión - Ceuta 0:2
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1
    18.10.2025 Ceuta - Mirandés 2:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation