Ceuta vs Deportivo La Coruña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.191.22
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
55
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
34
Passes
82% (335/409)85% (338/400)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.191.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.091.19
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
95
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free kicks
1111
Passes
82% (335/409)85% (338/400)
Long passes
46% (23/50)56% (32/57)
Passes in final third
62% (66/107)69% (52/75)
Crosses
25% (6/24)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.39
Throw ins
1513
Fouls
1111
Tackles
36% (5/14)61% (11/18)
Duels won
3745
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.192.09
Goals prevented
-0.811.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Nsongo B. , Stoichkov (A),
  • 32', Altimira A. 🟨,
  • 36', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 37', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 37', Quagliata G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sanchez M. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 46', Loureiro M. , Noubi L. ,
  • 65', Nsongo B. 🟨,
  • 73', Bodiger Y. , Youness ,
  • 77', Stoichkov , Herrera C. ,
  • 77', Nsongo B. , Mulattieri S. ,
  • 85', Navarro X. , Barcia D. ,
  • 85', Ahmed A. , Schor I. ,
  • 85', Illescas M. , Almenara G. ,
  • 87', Barcia D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Altimira A. , Cruz Luismi (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/kxx3mvkn

Chances of winning


Ceuta
32.6%
Draw
31.5%
Deportivo La Coruña
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 28.1% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 28.5% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Deportivo La Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.92)
    3.02
    (3.37)
    2.62
    (2.39)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Deportivo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Ceuta (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Deportivo (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo La Coruña will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportivo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Campana J. (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Rodriguez C. (Illness) Sanchez S. (Illness) Zalazar K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo: Hernandez Y. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta 2:1
    23.04.2023 Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta 1:0
    18.12.2022 Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2
    Latest results of Ceuta
    08.03.2026 Las Palmas - Ceuta 4:0
    01.03.2026 Mirandés - Ceuta 0:1
    25.02.2026 Ceuta - Córdoba 3:2
    20.02.2026 Ceuta - Granada 2:1
    15.02.2026 Huesca - Ceuta 2:0
    Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander372161075:552069
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Castellon3818101065:481764
    5Malaga381891166:491763
    6Las Palmas371712849:311863
    7Burgos CF3717101044:331161
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Gijon371571550:47352
    12Ceuta371491444:57-1351
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B371181846:54-841
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Huesca37991937:55-1836
    20Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation