Real Madrid Castilla vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid).

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 34
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV

Match Stats


Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
7	5
Shots on target
2	2
Corner Kicks
8	4
Yellow Cards
1	2
Total shots
7	5
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
5	3
Corner Kicks
8	4
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Cantero Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Lorenzo ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
65', Bellotti M. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
68', Zalazar K. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Zalazar K. ⚽,
78', Escudero A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
78', Kone K. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
78', Pujol E. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
78', Fortuny P. ↓, Diocou B. ↑,
79', Angel M. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
89', Garcia G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Real Madrid Castilla
40.6%

Draw
29.6%

Ceuta
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.36)	3.12 ↑ (2.98)	3.07 ↑ (3.06)	8.6% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ceuta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ceuta?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Ceuta has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta were as follows:

22.12.2024 Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla 2:1

04.02.2024 Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla 2:0

29.10.2023 Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta 1:1

07.05.2023 Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta 0:3

15.01.2023 Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla 2:2

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

20.04.2025 Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla 1:4 ✺

12.04.2025 Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla 0:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Yeclano Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla 1:1 ✺

21.03.2025 Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Ceuta

19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Intercity - Ceuta 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Ceuta - Hércules 1:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sabadell	29	14	12	3	40:15	25	54
2	Atl. Madrid B	29	14	9	6	43:26	17	51
3	Eldense	29	13	11	5	41:28	13	50
4	CE Europa	29	12	11	6	43:34	9	47
5	Villarreal B	29	11	11	7	38:25	13	44
6	Teruel	29	11	9	9	22:23	-1	42
7	Antequera	29	11	8	10	33:32	1	41
8	Algeciras	29	11	8	10	30:30	0	41
9	Alcorcon	29	9	13	7	27:25	2	40
10	Hercules	29	10	10	9	33:32	1	40
11	FC Cartagena SAD	29	10	10	9	25:28	-3	40
12	Torremolinos	29	9	12	8	37:37	0	39
13	UD Ibiza	29	10	8	11	30:28	2	38
14	Murcia	29	9	9	11	26:29	-3	36
15	Tarazona	29	8	10	11	23:30	-7	34
16	Gimnastic	29	9	7	13	31:39	-8	34
17	Marbella	29	7	7	15	24:35	-11	28
18	Betis B	29	7	7	15	32:48	-16	28
19	Sanluqueno	29	7	6	16	25:42	-17	27
20	Sevilla FC B	29	4	10	15	15:32	-17	22

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
      Relegation