Real Madrid Castilla vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta
Result
0:1
27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, Real Madrid TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
75
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Lorenzo , Zuniga L. ,
  • 65', Bellotti M. , Aquino D. ,
  • 68', Zalazar K. 🟨,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Zalazar K. ,
  • 78', Escudero A. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 78', Kone K. , Hernandez C. ,
  • 78', Pujol E. , Valdepenas V. ,
  • 78', Fortuny P. , Diocou B. ,
  • 79', Angel M. , Campos A. ,
  • 89', Garcia G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
40.6%
Draw
29.6%
Ceuta
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 30.9% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 32.4% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.36)
    3.12
    (2.98)
    3.07
    (3.06)
    8.6%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ceuta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla 2:1
    04.02.2024 Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla 2:0
    29.10.2023 Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta 1:1
    07.05.2023 Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta 0:3
    15.01.2023 Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla 2:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Ceuta
    19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1
    12.04.2025 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:1
    06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0
    28.03.2025 Intercity - Ceuta 1:2
    22.03.2025 Ceuta - Hércules 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Ibiza32105:327
    2Alcorcon32014:316
    3Sanluqueno31205:325
    4CE Europa31205:415
    5Marbella31203:215
    6Eldense31202:115
    7FC Cartagena SAD21103:214
    8Villarreal B31114:404
    9Sevilla FC B31113:304
    10Algeciras31112:204
    11Gimnastic31115:6-14
    12Murcia21012:203
    13Tarazona21011:103
    14Hercules31022:3-13
    15Sabadell20202:202
    16Betis B30212:3-12
    17Teruel30212:3-12
    18Atl. Madrid B20112:3-11
    19Antequera30121:3-21
    20Torremolinos20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation