Real Madrid Castilla vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid).

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 34
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV

Match Stats


Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
7	5
Shots on target
2	2
Corner Kicks
8	4
Yellow Cards
1	2
Total shots
7	5
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
5	3
Corner Kicks
8	4
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Cantero Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Lorenzo ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
65', Bellotti M. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
68', Zalazar K. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Zalazar K. ⚽,
78', Escudero A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
78', Kone K. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
78', Pujol E. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
78', Fortuny P. ↓, Diocou B. ↑,
79', Angel M. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
89', Garcia G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Real Madrid Castilla
40.6%

Draw
29.6%

Ceuta
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.36)	3.12 ↑ (2.98)	3.07 ↑ (3.06)	8.6% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ceuta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ceuta?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Ceuta has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta were as follows:

22.12.2024 Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla 2:1

04.02.2024 Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla 2:0

29.10.2023 Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta 1:1

07.05.2023 Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta 0:3

15.01.2023 Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla 2:2

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

20.04.2025 Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla 1:4 ✺

12.04.2025 Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla 0:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Yeclano Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla 1:1 ✺

21.03.2025 Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Ceuta

19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Intercity - Ceuta 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Ceuta - Hércules 1:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eldense	32	16	11	5	47:29	18	59
2	Sabadell	32	15	13	4	44:20	24	58
3	Atl. Madrid B	32	16	9	7	52:34	18	57
4	Villarreal B	32	13	12	7	44:26	18	51
5	CE Europa	32	13	11	8	44:40	4	50
6	FC Cartagena SAD	32	13	10	9	28:28	0	49
7	Teruel	32	12	10	10	25:26	-1	46
8	Algeciras	32	12	9	11	33:34	-1	45
9	Alcorcon	32	10	14	8	33:29	4	44
10	Hercules	32	11	11	10	35:36	-1	44
11	UD Ibiza	32	11	10	11	34:31	3	43
12	Murcia	32	11	9	12	30:32	-2	42
13	Antequera	32	11	8	13	37:39	-2	41
14	Tarazona	32	10	10	12	29:34	-5	40
15	Gimnastic	32	11	7	14	35:41	-6	40
16	Torremolinos	32	9	12	11	38:42	-4	39
17	Betis B	32	8	8	16	37:52	-15	32
18	Sanluqueno	32	7	8	17	25:43	-18	29
19	Marbella	32	7	7	18	28:43	-15	28
20	Sevilla FC B	32	4	11	17	16:35	-19	23

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
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