CF Montréal vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.952.71
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
810
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (362/421)88% (507/576)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.952.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.263.71
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
810
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2025
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
86% (362/421)88% (507/576)
Long passes
48% (14/29)70% (37/53)
Passes in final third
73% (56/77)69% (71/103)
Crosses
18% (2/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.13
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
1214
Tackles
63% (5/8)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
229
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
3.711.26
Goals prevented
-0.290.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Allende T. , Messi L. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 2, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A), Aviles T. (A2)
  • 45+2', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Piette S. , Campbell G. ,
  • 54', Busquets S. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Segovia T. , Allende T. (A),
  • 62', 1 - 4, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 69', Sealy D. , Duke B. ,
  • 69', Pearce T. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 72', Aviles T. , Martinez D. ,
  • 72', Cremaschi B. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 72', Segovia T. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 80', Clark C. , Synchuk G. ,
  • 83', Allende T. , Picault F. ,
  • 85', Owusu P. , Ibrahim S. ,
  • 87', Falcon M. , Sailor R. ,
  • 88', Martinez D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
29%
Draw
23.4%
Inter Miami
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 24.7% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 24.5% 42.8%

CF Montréal - Inter Miami Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.27
(2.91)
4.04
(3.87)
2.02
(2.26)
5%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Inter Miami?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Inter Miami (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Inter Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Neal J. (Injury) Waterman J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Clark C. (Injury) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Inter Miami were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 4:2
    11.05.2024 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 2:3
    10.03.2024 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 2:3
    27.05.2023 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:0
    25.02.2023 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 2:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1FC CincinnatiBye
    2ByeColumbus Crew
    3Inter MiamiBye
    4ByeNashville SC
    5Philadelphia UnionBye
    6Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    7CharlotteBye
    8ByeNew York City
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    14ByeFC Dallas
    15Los Angeles FCBye
    16ByeAustin FC

    1/8-finals
    1FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew2 : 1
    2Inter MiamiNashville SC2 : 1
    3Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire2 : 0
    4CharlotteNew York City1 : 2
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers2 : 1
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders2 : 1
    7Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas2 : 0
    8Los Angeles FCAustin FC2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CincinnatiInter Miami0 : 4
    2Philadelphia UnionNew York City0 : 1
    3San Diego FCMinnesota United1 : 0
    4Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FC3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Inter MiamiNew York City
    2San Diego FCVancouver Whitecaps

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2