CF Montréal vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS CF Montréal - Inter Miami
Result
1:4
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.952.71
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
810
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (362/421)88% (507/576)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.952.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.263.71
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
810
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2025
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
86% (362/421)88% (507/576)
Long passes
48% (14/29)70% (37/53)
Passes in final third
73% (56/77)69% (71/103)
Crosses
18% (2/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.13
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
1214
Tackles
63% (5/8)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
229
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
3.711.26
Goals prevented
-0.290.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Allende T. , Messi L. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 2, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A), Aviles T. (A2)
  • 45+2', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Piette S. , Campbell G. ,
  • 54', Busquets S. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Segovia T. , Allende T. (A),
  • 62', 1 - 4, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 69', Sealy D. , Duke B. ,
  • 69', Pearce T. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 72', Aviles T. , Martinez D. ,
  • 72', Cremaschi B. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 72', Segovia T. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 80', Clark C. , Synchuk G. ,
  • 83', Allende T. , Picault F. ,
  • 85', Owusu P. , Ibrahim S. ,
  • 87', Falcon M. , Sailor R. ,
  • 88', Martinez D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
29%
Draw
23.4%
Inter Miami
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 24.7% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 24.5% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Miami's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • CF Montréal - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.91)
    4.04
    (3.87)
    2.02
    (2.26)
    5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Inter Miami?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Inter Miami (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Inter Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Neal J. (Injury) Waterman J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Clark C. (Injury) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Inter Miami were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 4:2
    11.05.2024 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 2:3
    10.03.2024 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 2:3
    27.05.2023 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:0
    25.02.2023 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 2:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

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    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
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    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
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    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
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    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

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