Yunnan Yukun vs Changchun Yatai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai
Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.25
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
77% (315/407)62% (161/258)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.43
Total shots
175
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
77% (315/407)62% (161/258)
Long passes
38% (24/63)38% (28/74)
Passes in final third
60% (82/137)44% (47/106)
Crosses
16% (4/25)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.20
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
1816
Tackles
62% (8/13)46% (6/13)
Duels won
6473
Clearances
2843
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.430.98
Goals prevented
-0.57-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Rosic L. 🟨,
  • 19', Yi Teng , Li Songyi ,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Zhang Huachen ,
  • 42', Wang Zhifeng 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Salazar J. , Asqer A. ,
  • 54', Luo Jing , Ionita II A. ,
  • 64', Asqer A. 🟨,
  • 64', Abdugheni Abduhamit , Sunzu S. ,
  • 65', Zhang Huachen , Wang Yu ,
  • 82', Mawlanniyaz D. , Han Zilong ,
  • 90+9', 1 - 1, Taty Maritu O. (Pen),
  • 90+11', Tan Long , Tian Yuda ,

Chances of winning


Yunnan Yukun
54.9%
Draw
22.5%
Changchun Yatai
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 23.2% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 22.6% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.8)
    4.08
    (4)
    4.15
    (3.65)
    6.7%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Yunnan Yukun will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
    • Yunnan Yukun has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Changchun Yatai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Yunnan Yukun is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Zhao Yingjie (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Nene (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Changchun Yatai - Yunnan Yukun 0:0
    Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
    Latest results of Changchun Yatai
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port27186367:412660
    2Chengdu Rongcheng27177356:233358
    3Shanghai Shenhua27176461:322957
    4Beijing Guoan27156658:411751
    5Shandong Taishan27128759:431644
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger27127836:34243
    7Zhejiang Professional271010756:441240
    8Qingdao West Coast2799936:40-436
    9Yunnan Yukun27981041:50-935
    10Dalian Yingbo27971126:40-1434
    11Henan Songshan Longmen27951347:44332
    12Wuhan Three Towns27671432:54-2225
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng27721832:56-2423
    14Meizhou Hakka27551732:60-2820
    15Qingdao Hainiu27391528:44-1618
    16Changchun Yatai27461724:45-2118

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League