América Mineiro vs Chapecoense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Chapecoense
Result
0:1
20/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 17
  • Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.82
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
2511
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
87% (506/583)72% (217/301)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.861.08
Total shots
2511
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
113
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
119
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
397
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
87% (506/583)72% (217/301)
Long passes
40% (19/47)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
76% (139/183)64% (49/77)
Crosses
28% (11/39)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.21
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
1211
Tackles
56% (9/16)71% (15/21)
Duels won
4557
Clearances
944
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.080.86
Goals prevented
0.080.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Italo ,
  • 40', Ricardo Silva , Mariano ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jorge Jimenez , Pedro Martins ,
  • 46', Miqueias , Felipe Amaral ,
  • 46', David Lopes , Elizari F. ,
  • 63', Arthur Sousa , Heber ,
  • 68', Julio Cesar 🟨,
  • 71', Labandeira F. , Stenio ,
  • 71', Neto Pessoa , Pedro Perotti ,
  • 73', Leo Vieira 🟨,
  • 77', Bruno Leonardo , Bressan ,
  • 83', Mailton , Gabriel Inocencio ,
  • 84', Victor Caetano 🟨,
  • 84', Giovanni Augusto , Marcinho ,
  • 85', Pedro Perotti 🟨,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
53.7%
Draw
27.7%
Chapecoense
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 27.3% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.3% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • América Mineiro - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.83)
    3.36
    (3.4)
    4.99
    (4.2)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Chapecoense?
  • Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Samuel (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Red Card) Eduardo Person (Inactive) Joao Paulo (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio (Injury) Jhonnathan (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Chapecoense were as follows:
    21.08.2024 América Mineiro - Chapecoense 0:0
    04.05.2024 Chapecoense - América Mineiro 2:2
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    13.07.2025 Chapecoense - Remo 1:1
    29.06.2025 Chapecoense - Goiás 1:2
    20.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Chapecoense 1:0
    16.06.2025 Chapecoense - Ferroviária 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias30149734:26851
    3Criciuma30148839:261350
    4Athletico-PR29146943:36748
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7Cuiaba301210837:34346
    8CRB301341334:30443
    9Remo291012733:28542
    10Atletico GO291012731:28342
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR291091031:28339
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14Ferroviaria29812933:36-336
    15America MG29961429:35-633
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Volta Redonda307101319:31-1231
    18Botafogo SP30781525:46-2129
    19Amazonas306101431:46-1528
    20Paysandu PA305111426:36-1026

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