Result
0:1
20/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 17
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.73 | 0.82 |
Ball Possession |
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66% | 34% |
Total shots |
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25 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
87% (506/583) | 72% (217/301) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.73 | 0.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.86 | 1.08 |
Total shots |
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25 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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11 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 7 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 12 |
Passes |
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87% (506/583) | 72% (217/301) |
Long passes |
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40% (19/47) | 31% (22/71) |
Passes in final third |
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76% (139/183) | 64% (49/77) |
Crosses |
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28% (11/39) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.16 | 0.21 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 13 |
Fouls |
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12 | 11 |
Tackles |
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56% (9/16) | 71% (15/21) |
Duels won |
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45 | 57 |
Clearances |
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9 | 44 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
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1.08 | 0.86 |
Goals prevented |
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0.08 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Italo ⚽,
- 40', Ricardo Silva ↓, Mariano ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 46', Miqueias ↓, Felipe Amaral ↑,
- 46', David Lopes ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
- 63', Arthur Sousa ↓, Heber ↑,
- 68', Julio Cesar 🟨,
- 71', Labandeira F. ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 71', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 73', Leo Vieira 🟨,
- 77', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Bressan ↑,
- 83', Mailton ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
- 84', Victor Caetano 🟨,
- 84', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 85', Pedro Perotti 🟨,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 53.7% | Draw 27.7% | Chapecoense 18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
América Mineiro - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.83) |
3.36 ↓ (3.4) |
4.99 ↑ (4.2) |
7.1% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Samuel
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Red Card)
Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Joao Paulo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Chapecoense?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against América Mineiro?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Chapecoense were as follows:
21.08.2024
América Mineiro
-
Chapecoense
0:0
04.05.2024
Chapecoense
-
América Mineiro
2:2
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
11 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
12 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )