Result
0:4
22/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 1.99 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
83% (252/303) | 86% (253/295) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 1.99 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.26 | 2.85 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
83% (252/303) | 86% (253/295) |
Long passes |
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46% (19/41) | 54% (21/39) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (61/85) | 68% (45/66) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (3/18) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.58 | 1.50 |
Throw-ins |
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27 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 7 |
Tackles |
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69% (9/13) | 57% (4/7) |
Duels won |
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32 | 31 |
Clearances |
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12 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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2.85 | 0.26 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.15 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 52', Sidimar 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Giovanni Augusto ⚽,
- 58', 0 - 2, Victor Caetano ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A),
- 62', Chico Geraldes ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 69', 0 - 3, Gabriel Inocencio ⚽, Neto Pessoa (A),
- 70', Sidimar ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
- 70', Fabricio Isidoro ↓, David Braga ↑,
- 73', Marcinho ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 80', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 80', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
- 80', 0 - 4, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Gabriel Inocencio (A),
- 85', Tavares R. ↓, Yuri ↑,
- 85', Max ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
- 85', Gabriel Inocencio ↓, Everton ↑,
- 85', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Italo ↑,
- 89', Sandry 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club 44% | Draw 30.2% | Chapecoense 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Club's performance.Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chapecoense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapecoense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Athletic Club - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↓ (2.47) |
3.1 ↓ (3.25) |
3.57 ↑ (2.72) |
6.6% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Athletic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Chapecoense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
Marcelo Ajul
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Leonardo
(Yellow Cards)
Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Everton
(Inactive)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
Leo Vieira
(Yellow Cards)
Mancha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Giovanni Augusto
(Injury)
Leo Vieira
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Chapecoense?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Athletic Club?
Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Chapecoense were as follows:
20.04.2025
Chapecoense
-
Athletic Club
1:0
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
12 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
13 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 26 |
18 | America MG | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )