Result
1:0
20/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 4
- Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/376) | 82% (355/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/376) | 82% (355/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 45% (18/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (44/76) | 62% (72/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.47 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 42 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Gabriel Ferreira 🟨,
- 28', Mailton 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, Mario Sergio ⚽, Mailton (A),
- 62', Lincoln ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 62', Ezequiel ↓, Max ↑,
- 66', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
- 68', Diego Fumaca ↓, Sandry ↑,
- 70', Joao Paulo ↓, Eduardo Doma ↑,
- 77', Mailton ↓, Dentinho ↑,
- 77', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Eduardo Person ↑,
- 86', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 87', Italo ↓, Mailson ↑,
- 87', Gabriel Ferreira ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 87', Sidimar ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
48.5% | Draw
28.4% | Athletic Club
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Chapecoense - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.01) |
3.28 ↑
(3.23) |
4.05 ↑
(3.74) |
6.9%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
Chapecoense will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chapecoense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Chapecoense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Athletic is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Chapecoense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Chapecoense will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Athletic: Adriel
(Red Card)
Alason Carioca
(Injury)
Wesley Gasolina
(Red Card)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Athletic Club?
Chapecoense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Chapecoense?
Athletic Club has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Athletic Club were as follows:
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
