Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (299/373) | 82% (379/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (299/373) | 82% (379/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (67/106) | 67% (76/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Eduardo Doma ↑,
- 46', JP ↓, Mendes ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Cleber ⚽,
- 54', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 56', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
- 63', Alef Manga ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 63', Ze Ricardo ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
- 63', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 64', Getulio ↓, Mailson ↑,
- 64', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 1, Italo ⚽, Mailson (A),
- 79', Cleber ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 79', Joao Vitor ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 82', Bruno Matias ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Hygor ⚽, Gustavo Barreto (A),
- 86', Hygor 🟨,
- 89', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Dentinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Avaí
55.5% | Draw
27.8% | Chapecoense
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Avaí - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.79) |
3.35 ↑
(3.14) |
5.59 ↑
(5.36) |
6.9%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avaí - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 0.
- Avaí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chapecoense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Avaí is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Chapecoense?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Avaí?
Chapecoense has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Chapecoense were as follows:
22.03.2025
Avaí
-
Chapecoense
1:1
15.03.2025
Chapecoense
-
Avaí
2:2
29.01.2025
Chapecoense
-
Avaí
0:0
22.09.2024
Chapecoense
-
Avaí
1:0
09.06.2024
Avaí
-
Chapecoense
0:0
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | America MG | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
