Result
1:1
21/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Gabriel Simples 🟨,
- 27', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 27', DG 🟨,
- 35', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Everton ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽,
- 61', Joao Paulo ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
- 63', Rubens Ricoldi 🟨,
- 66', Gaspar ↓, Hyan ↑,
- 68', Camilo Reijers 🟨,
- 68', Italo ↓, Mailson ↑,
- 68', Jean Carlos ↓, Robert Conceicao ↑,
- 73', Thayllon ↓, Josmar ↑,
- 74', Wallison 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 1, Rubens Ricoldi ⚽,
- 78', Marcinho ↓, Enio ↑,
- 85', Jean Lucas ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
- 85', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Kaua Dias ↑,
- 90+1', Mailson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí
35.1% | Draw
32.1% | Chapecoense
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chapecoense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chapecoense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Avaí - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.18) |
2.83 ↓
(3.09) |
2.76 ↓
(3.39) |
10.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avaí - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Avaí (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avaí will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Chapecoense?
Avaí has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Avaí?
Chapecoense has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Chapecoense were as follows:
25.09.2025
Chapecoense
-
Avaí
0:1
24.05.2025
Avaí
-
Chapecoense
2:1
22.03.2025
Avaí
-
Chapecoense
1:1
15.03.2025
Chapecoense
-
Avaí
2:2
29.01.2025
Chapecoense
-
Avaí
0:0
Latest results of Chapecoense
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Concordia | Brusque | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Criciuma | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barra FC | Santa Catarina | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Camboriu | Avai | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Brusque | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Barra FC | Camboriu | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
