Chapecoense vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
42
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
118
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
75
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', Joao Bom 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Joao Bom ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Jamerson ,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Rubens Ricoldi ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cabral N. , Quaresma ,
  • 61', Cristiano 🟨,
  • 61', Walace Franca , Romildo Del Piage ,
  • 62', Da Silva , Mancha ,
  • 73', Hyan , Luiz Henrique ,
  • 73', Paulo Vitor , Isaias ,
  • 74', Joao Bom , Gleidson ,
  • 79', Jamerson , Thayllon ,
  • 84', Rodrigo , Bernardo ,
  • 84', Wermeson , Felipe L. ,
  • 85', Rubens Ricoldi , Miguel ,
  • 90+1', Anderson 🟨,
  • 90+2', Vinicius Balieiro 🟨,
  • 90+3', Romildo Del Piage 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
36.2%
Draw
28.5%
Avaí
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 28.4% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 29.4% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.
  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chapecoense - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.05)
    3.22
    (3.17)
    2.61
    (3.26)
    8.8%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.
    • Chapecoense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Avaí's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Chapecoense is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Avaí were as follows:
    21.01.2026 Avaí - Chapecoense 1:1
    25.09.2025 Chapecoense - Avaí 0:1
    24.05.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 2:1
    22.03.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 1:1
    15.03.2025 Chapecoense - Avaí 2:2
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Latest results of Avaí
    01.04.2026 CRB Maceio - Avaí 0:1
    29.03.2026 Avaí - Cianorte 2:2
    25.03.2026 Tombense - Avaí 3:2
    22.03.2026 Avaí - Juventude 2:0
    Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias32103:127
    2Chapecoense-SC32014:316
    3Sampaio Correa FE31205:325
    4Novorizontino21103:124
    5Tombense31116:604
    6Cianorte30213:5-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Volta Redonda32105:237
    2Operario-PR31201:015
    3America MG30215:6-12
    4Sao Bernardo20113:4-11
    5Avai30125:7-21
    6Juventude30030:5-50

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