Result
1:2
07/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 15
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (389/459) | 78% (296/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (389/459) | 78% (296/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 48% (34/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (74/105) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Vinicius Mingotti ⚽,
- 45+3', Neto Pessoa 🟨,
- 45+3', Joseph 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Vinicius Mingotti ↓, Ademilson ↑,
- 59', Pedro Lucas ↓, Leo Silva ↑,
- 63', Joao Paulo ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 63', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Giovanni Augusto ⚽, Italo (A),
- 75', Diogo Mateus ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,
- 75', Indio ↓, Fransergio ↑,
- 76', Italo 🟨,
- 88', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 88', Mailton ↓, Everton ↑,
- 90+3', Neto Pessoa ↓, Dentinho ↑,
- 90+4', Pedro Martins 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 2, Clar W. ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A),
- 90+12', Joseph ↓, Filipe Claudino ↑,
- 90+13', Dentinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Operário Ferroviario
52.9% | Draw
29.9% | Chapecoense
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.81) |
3.12 ↓
(3.23) |
5.35 ↑
(4.85) |
7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Operário PR: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 4.
- Operário PR is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chapecoense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Operário PR is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Operário PR: Allano
(Inactive)
Daniel Amorim
(Inactive)
Fransergio
(Inactive)
Kleiton
(Inactive)
Marcos Paulo
(Inactive)
Zuluaga J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Jorge Jimenez
(Inactive)
Victor Caetano
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Operário PR: Elias Curzel
(Inactive)
Filipe Claudino
(Inactive)
Jean Lucas
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Leo Vieira
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Chapecoense?
Operário Ferroviario has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Operário Ferroviario?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense were as follows:
03.10.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
Chapecoense
3:2
17.06.2024
Chapecoense
-
Operário Ferroviario
0:1
08.10.2022
Chapecoense
-
Operário Ferroviario
1:1
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 13 | 53 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Goias | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 46 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 41:30 | 11 | 44 |
| 8 | CRB | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Remo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Avai | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 36 |
| 15 | America MG | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
