Result
1:1
15/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Antony 🟨,
- 40', Teixeira K. ↓, Luduena Coronel M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Pool J. 🟨,
- 64', Klaus ↓, Favero ↑,
- 64', Torres E. ↓, Matheus Galdino ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Pool J. ⚽,
- 70', Jhones ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 73', Hector Bianchi 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Kauan Alemao ⚽,
- 80', Maguinho ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
- 80', Felipe Augusto ↓, Jhow Torres ↑,
- 81', Hector Bianchi ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 81', Magalhaes de Freitas L. G. ↓, Kawe ↑,
- 81', Antony ↓, Edson Nogueira ↑,
- 90+2', Kawe 🟨,
- 90+3', Gabriel Feliciano ↓, Miguel Tavora ↑,
Chances of winning
Operário Ferroviario
54.9% | Draw
29.6% | Grêmio Novorizontino
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Operário Ferroviario's performance.Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Novorizontino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Operário Ferroviario that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(2.31) |
3.1 ↑
(2.82) |
5.95 ↑
(3.26) |
8.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Operário PR could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Operário Ferroviario has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Operário Ferroviario?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
12.10.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Operário Ferroviario
3:0
23.06.2025
Operário Ferroviario
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:0
09.11.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Operário Ferroviario
0:1
23.07.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:0
06.11.2022
Operário Ferroviario
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:3
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Cianorte | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Sampaio Correa FE | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Tombense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Volta Redonda | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Operario-PR | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Avai | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | America MG | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 6 | Juventude | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sul~Sudeste (Play Offs: )
